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Maize (white) in Kamenge

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,821–2,512

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,800–2,647

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,821 and 2,512 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,800 and 2,647 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kamenge: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,821 and 2,512 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,800 and 2,647 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,819–2,247 1,986 1,718–2,463 2,538 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,808–2,404 2,070 1,673–2,446 2,768 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,821–2,512 2,036 1,594–2,646 2,738 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,858–2,714 2,169 1,615–3,287 3,143 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,800–2,647 2,134 1,544–2,858 3,070 –
Price history (94 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20261,900
Aug 20261,900
Jul 20261,900
Jun 20261,710
May 20261,912
Apr 20261,756
Mar 20262,030
Feb 20262,136
Jan 20262,171
Dec 20252,144
Nov 20252,188
Oct 20252,236
Sept 20251,972
Aug 20252,000
Jul 20251,900
Jun 20251,744
May 20251,818
Apr 20251,983
Mar 20252,029
Feb 20252,550
Jan 20252,676
Dec 20242,740
Nov 20242,194
Oct 20242,070
Sept 20242,117
Aug 20241,983
Jul 20241,817
Jun 20241,772
May 20241,777
Apr 20241,800
Mar 20241,839
Feb 20242,033
Jan 20241,983
Dec 20232,150
Nov 20232,150
Oct 20232,048
Sept 20232,000
Aug 20232,004
Jul 20232,124
Jun 20231,933
May 20231,917
Apr 20231,933
Mar 20231,911
Feb 20231,866
Jan 20232,100
Dec 20222,133
Nov 20221,200
Oct 20221,869
Sept 20221,533
Aug 20221,575
Jul 20221,500
Jun 20221,117
May 20221,038
Apr 20221,088
Mar 20221,067
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,217
Oct 20211,125
Sept 20211,025
May 20211,150
Apr 2021952
Mar 2021910
Feb 20211,017
Jan 20211,014
Dec 20201,014
Nov 20201,100
Oct 20201,000
Sept 20201,000
Aug 2020962
Jul 2020894
Jun 2020861
Mar 2020933
Feb 20201,000
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,150
Oct 20191,000
Aug 2019833
Jul 2019917
Jun 2019700
May 2019733
Mar 2019792
Feb 2019938
Jan 2019917
Dec 2018858
Nov 2018800
Oct 2018720
Sept 2018625
Aug 2018633
Jul 2018640
Jun 2018592
May 2018675
Apr 2018633
Mar 2018833
Feb 2018838

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2436-67-retail-kg.