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Cassava flour in Kamenge

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 20% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,554–2,413

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,568–2,652

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,554 and 2,413 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,568 and 2,652 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Cassava flour, Kamenge: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 13% over the 3 months before. For cassava, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 8% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,554 and 2,413 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,568 and 2,652 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,567); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,558–1,945 1,744 1,441–2,310 2,155 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,503–2,073 1,753 1,316–2,647 2,032 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,554–2,413 1,776 1,358–3,614 2,305 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,563–2,531 1,797 1,392–4,567 2,225 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,568–2,652 1,853 1,359–4,096 2,296 –
Price history (94 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20261,700
Aug 20261,712
Jul 20261,800
Jun 20261,771
May 20261,969
Apr 20261,700
Mar 20261,788
Feb 20261,740
Jan 20261,757
Dec 20251,781
Nov 20251,767
Oct 20251,767
Sept 20251,722
Aug 20251,767
Jul 20251,767
Jun 20251,766
May 20251,773
Apr 20251,717
Mar 20251,700
Feb 20251,730
Jan 20251,716
Dec 20241,766
Nov 20241,756
Oct 20241,620
Sept 20241,717
Aug 20242,050
Jul 20241,900
Jun 20241,894
May 20241,956
Apr 20241,978
Mar 20241,928
Feb 20241,950
Jan 20241,925
Dec 20231,675
Nov 20231,750
Oct 20231,751
Sept 20231,803
Aug 20231,736
Jul 20232,035
Jun 20231,833
May 20231,883
Apr 20231,717
Mar 20231,875
Feb 20231,834
Jan 20231,633
Dec 20221,433
Nov 20221,500
Oct 20221,459
Sept 20221,321
Aug 20221,300
Jul 20221,200
Jun 20221,367
May 20221,362
Apr 20221,275
Mar 20221,217
Feb 20221,233
Jan 20221,167
Oct 20211,100
Sept 20211,167
May 20211,150
Apr 20211,159
Mar 20211,028
Feb 2021983
Jan 20211,097
Dec 20201,116
Nov 20201,033
Oct 2020700
Sept 2020928
Aug 20201,008
Jul 2020976
Jun 20201,054
Mar 2020892
Feb 2020825
Jan 2020700
Dec 2019700
Oct 2019692
Aug 2019592
Jul 2019567
Jun 2019633
May 2019683
Mar 2019600
Feb 2019540
Jan 2019708
Dec 2018700
Nov 2018700
Oct 2018580
Sept 2018567
Aug 2018808
Jul 2018910
Jun 2018900
May 2018975
Apr 2018933
Mar 20181,200
Feb 20181,025

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2436-74-retail-kg.