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Maize flour in Kamenge

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 18% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,285–2,949

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,206–2,996

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,285 and 2,949 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,206 and 2,996 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Kamenge: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 18% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,285 and 2,949 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,206 and 2,996 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,229–2,585 2,365 2,107–2,780 2,821 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,240–2,694 2,416 2,107–3,244 3,002 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,285–2,949 2,479 2,056–3,649 3,254 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,269–3,037 2,559 2,016–3,739 3,371 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,206–2,996 2,534 1,963–3,023 3,271 –
Price history (94 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20262,400
Aug 20262,332
Jul 20262,300
Jun 20262,162
May 20262,212
Apr 20262,050
Mar 20262,378
Feb 20262,514
Jan 20262,535
Dec 20252,573
Nov 20252,506
Oct 20252,550
Sept 20252,394
Aug 20252,450
Jul 20252,400
Jun 20252,188
May 20252,273
Apr 20252,567
Mar 20252,500
Feb 20252,926
Jan 20252,945
Dec 20243,041
Nov 20242,394
Oct 20242,312
Sept 20242,367
Aug 20242,183
Jul 20242,133
Jun 20242,074
May 20242,071
Apr 20242,166
Mar 20242,161
Feb 20242,283
Jan 20242,233
Dec 20232,300
Nov 20232,350
Oct 20232,337
Sept 20232,233
Aug 20232,260
Jul 20232,278
Jun 20232,233
May 20232,200
Apr 20232,267
Mar 20232,368
Feb 20232,264
Jan 20232,433
Dec 20222,233
Nov 20222,250
Oct 20222,088
Sept 20221,796
Aug 20221,925
Jul 20221,700
Jun 20221,433
May 20221,312
Apr 20221,275
Mar 20221,317
Feb 20221,367
Jan 20221,333
Oct 20211,200
Sept 20211,133
May 20211,225
Apr 20211,164
Mar 20211,187
Feb 20211,150
Jan 20211,186
Dec 20201,228
Nov 20201,350
Oct 20201,100
Sept 20201,198
Aug 20201,229
Jul 20201,079
Jun 20201,091
Mar 20201,167
Feb 20201,217
Jan 20201,400
Dec 20191,350
Oct 20191,350
Aug 20191,033
Jul 20191,117
Jun 2019933
May 2019983
Mar 20191,000
Feb 2019980
Jan 20191,075
Dec 20181,083
Nov 20181,050
Oct 2018950
Sept 2018883
Aug 2018900
Jul 2018940
Jun 2018812
May 2018975
Apr 2018950
Mar 20181,267
Feb 20181,075

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2436-76-retail-kg.