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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kamenge

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 12% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,054–4,731

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,827–5,205

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,054 and 4,731 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,827 and 5,205 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kamenge: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,054 and 4,731 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,827 and 5,205 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,798); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,014–3,745 3,242 2,785–4,527 3,561 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,034–4,218 3,334 2,696–5,700 3,758 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,054–4,731 3,353 2,701–7,517 4,095 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,994–4,990 3,368 2,754–8,798 4,320 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,827–5,205 3,338 2,595–7,668 3,847 –
Price history (95 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20263,000
Aug 20263,062
Jul 20263,000
Jun 20263,029
May 20264,600
Apr 20263,388
Mar 20263,111
Feb 20263,045
Jan 20262,861
Dec 20252,933
Nov 20252,962
Oct 20253,069
Sept 20252,944
Aug 20252,733
Jul 20252,867
Jun 20252,931
May 20252,865
Apr 20253,583
Mar 20253,544
Feb 20253,429
Jan 20253,541
Dec 20243,733
Nov 20243,228
Oct 20243,252
Sept 20242,967
Aug 20242,850
Jul 20242,733
Jun 20242,547
May 20242,977
Apr 20243,444
Mar 20242,794
Feb 20242,800
Jan 20242,400
Dec 20232,775
Nov 20232,900
Oct 20232,702
Sept 20232,662
Aug 20232,496
Jul 20232,526
Jun 20233,167
May 20233,150
Apr 20233,550
Mar 20233,227
Feb 20232,789
Jan 20232,800
Dec 20222,367
Nov 20222,000
Oct 20221,738
Sept 20221,504
Aug 20221,450
Jul 20221,400
Jun 20221,600
May 20222,550
Apr 20221,725
Mar 20221,300
Feb 20221,233
Jan 20221,167
Oct 20211,300
Sept 20211,250
May 20211,650
Apr 20211,635
Mar 20211,623
Feb 20211,567
Jan 20211,362
Dec 20201,720
Nov 20201,708
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,502
Aug 20201,458
Jul 20201,216
Jun 20201,200
Mar 20201,517
Feb 20201,267
Jan 20201,150
Dec 20191,283
Nov 20191,200
Oct 20191,192
Aug 20191,100
Jul 20191,208
Jun 20191,000
May 20191,317
Mar 20191,250
Feb 20191,120
Jan 20191,225
Dec 20181,250
Nov 20181,200
Oct 20181,160
Sept 20181,075
Aug 20181,108
Jul 20181,040
Jun 2018983
May 20181,175
Apr 20181,050
Mar 20181,000
Feb 2018975

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2436-829-retail-kg.