Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Food basket in Kamenge

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

29,637–44,489

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

29,324–47,709

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 31,451 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 29,637 and 44,489 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 29,324 and 47,709 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Kamenge: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 31,451 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 29,637 and 44,489 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 29,324 and 47,709 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. A price published after the forecast was made is shown on the observed line, next to the estimate for that month. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 70,944); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 29,930–35,580 32,543 28,339–39,180
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 28,841–38,015 32,584 26,780–45,003
Nov 2026
Next month		 29,637–44,489 33,489 27,424–58,159
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 29,672–45,891 33,720 27,873–70,944
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 29,324–47,709 34,636 26,635–62,183
Cost history (94 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Sept 202631,665
Aug 202631,451
Jul 202632,692
Jun 202632,467
May 202638,115
Apr 202632,276
Mar 202632,614
Feb 202632,281
Jan 202631,715
Dec 202532,046
Nov 202532,699
Oct 202532,993
Sept 202533,442
Aug 202533,365
Jul 202533,720
Jun 202533,685
May 202533,417
Apr 202533,835
Mar 202533,693
Feb 202532,921
Jan 202531,928
Dec 202432,224
Nov 202430,810
Oct 202429,040
Sept 202430,023
Aug 202433,985
Jul 202432,148
Jun 202431,682
May 202432,974
Apr 202433,623
Mar 202431,613
Feb 202431,890
Jan 202430,870
Dec 202328,890
Nov 202329,670
Oct 202329,827
Sept 202330,360
Aug 202329,769
Jul 202333,094
Jun 202332,990
May 202332,352
Apr 202330,613
Mar 202332,079
Feb 202330,963
Jan 202327,572
Dec 202224,450
Nov 202224,705
Oct 202223,594
Sept 202221,562
Aug 202221,832
Jul 202221,405
Jun 202222,615
May 202224,821
Apr 202221,113
Mar 202219,850
Feb 202219,504
Jan 202218,814
Oct 202117,782
Sept 202118,953
May 202119,012
Apr 202118,997
Mar 202117,261
Feb 202116,713
Jan 202117,638
Dec 202018,294
Nov 202017,234
Oct 202012,825
Sept 202015,553
Aug 202016,361
Jul 202015,922
Jun 202016,755
Mar 202015,351
Feb 202013,986
Jan 202012,022
Dec 201912,492
Oct 201912,285
Aug 201911,150
Jul 201911,160
Jun 201911,470
May 201912,732
Mar 201911,118
Feb 201910,042
Jan 201912,280
Dec 201812,329
Nov 201812,199
Oct 201810,732
Sept 201810,633
Aug 201813,765
Jul 201815,345
Jun 201814,697
May 201815,885
Apr 201814,734
Mar 201817,879
Feb 201815,556

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620