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Maize (white) in Kanyosha

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,777–2,474

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,715–2,553

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 13% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,777 and 2,474 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,715 and 2,553 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kanyosha: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 13% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,777 and 2,474 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,715 and 2,553 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,788–2,094 1,894 1,709–2,301 2,270 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,733–2,221 1,941 1,639–2,415 2,428 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,777–2,474 2,032 1,633–3,311 2,682 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,766–2,529 2,074 1,650–3,504 2,788 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,715–2,553 2,032 1,606–3,219 2,656 –
Price history (108 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,917
Jul 20261,800
Jun 20261,742
May 20261,700
Apr 20261,600
Mar 20261,751
Feb 20262,060
Jan 20262,155
Dec 20252,152
Nov 20252,088
Oct 20252,192
Sept 20252,076
Aug 20251,883
Jul 20251,800
Jun 20251,840
May 20251,734
Apr 20251,671
Mar 20251,844
Feb 20252,460
Jan 20252,853
Dec 20243,135
Nov 20242,750
Oct 20242,478
Sept 20242,163
Aug 20241,993
Jul 20241,742
Jun 20241,583
May 20241,552
Apr 20241,700
Mar 20241,868
Feb 20241,918
Jan 20241,991
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,167
Oct 20232,167
Sept 20232,158
Aug 20232,116
Jul 20232,047
Jun 20231,906
May 20231,793
Apr 20231,923
Mar 20232,100
Feb 20232,076
Jan 20232,300
Dec 20222,200
Nov 20222,170
Oct 20221,906
Sept 20221,725
Aug 20221,558
Jun 20221,200
May 20221,171
Apr 20221,060
Mar 20221,000
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,100
Sept 20211,017
May 2021962
Apr 2021954
Mar 2021868
Feb 20211,150
Jan 20211,097
Dec 20201,122
Nov 20201,050
Oct 20201,000
Sept 20201,000
Aug 20201,011
Jul 2020937
Jun 2020833
Mar 2020817
Feb 20201,067
Jan 20201,367
Dec 20191,280
Oct 20191,038
Aug 20191,020
Jul 20191,092
Jun 2019700
May 2019650
Mar 2019750
Feb 2019817
Jan 2019900
Dec 2018900
Nov 2018820
Oct 2018767
Sept 2018733
Aug 2018688
Jul 2018700
Jun 2018630
May 2018688
Apr 2018725
Mar 2018800
Feb 2018875
Jan 2018838
Dec 20171,000
Nov 20171,100
Oct 20171,150
Sept 20171,150
Aug 20171,200
Jul 20171,300
Jun 20171,250
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,200
Mar 20171,150
Feb 20171,350
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,575
Nov 20161,275
Oct 20161,120

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2437-67-retail-kg.