Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Maize flour in Kanyosha

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 14% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,256–2,897

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,118–2,995

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,256 and 2,897 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,118 and 2,995 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Kanyosha: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,256 and 2,897 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,118 and 2,995 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,230–2,500 2,332 2,159–2,737 2,753 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,191–2,665 2,398 2,101–3,014 2,896 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,256–2,897 2,498 2,031–3,550 3,152 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,238–3,042 2,549 1,986–4,227 3,213 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,118–2,995 2,410 1,852–3,599 3,059 –
Price history (108 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,300
Jul 20262,250
Jun 20262,221
May 20262,292
Apr 20262,233
Mar 20262,259
Feb 20262,500
Jan 20262,592
Dec 20252,556
Nov 20252,624
Oct 20252,624
Sept 20252,576
Aug 20252,317
Jul 20252,250
Jun 20252,324
May 20252,253
Apr 20252,375
Mar 20252,519
Feb 20253,021
Jan 20253,358
Dec 20243,594
Nov 20243,397
Oct 20242,911
Sept 20242,523
Aug 20242,411
Jul 20242,177
Jun 20242,033
May 20242,069
Apr 20242,200
Mar 20242,368
Feb 20242,471
Jan 20242,491
Dec 20232,500
Nov 20232,467
Oct 20232,564
Sept 20232,512
Aug 20232,405
Jul 20232,487
Jun 20232,336
May 20232,235
Apr 20232,381
Mar 20232,477
Feb 20232,454
Jan 20232,800
Dec 20222,668
Nov 20222,561
Oct 20222,288
Sept 20222,047
Aug 20221,883
Jun 20221,500
May 20221,504
Apr 20221,460
Mar 20221,400
Feb 20221,467
Jan 20221,550
Oct 20211,350
Sept 20211,367
May 20211,375
Apr 20211,387
Mar 20211,364
Feb 20211,467
Jan 20211,472
Dec 20201,335
Nov 20201,383
Oct 20201,400
Sept 20201,371
Aug 20201,376
Jul 20201,219
Jun 20201,100
Mar 20201,117
Feb 20201,400
Jan 20201,500
Dec 20191,560
Oct 20191,362
Aug 20191,420
Jul 20191,333
Jun 20191,050
May 20191,133
Mar 20191,000
Feb 20191,062
Jan 20191,167
Dec 20181,125
Nov 20181,060
Oct 20181,017
Sept 20181,000
Aug 2018925
Jul 20181,075
Jun 2018980
May 20181,025
Apr 20181,092
Mar 20181,200
Feb 20181,300
Jan 20181,038
Dec 20171,400
Nov 20171,450
Oct 20171,600
Sept 20171,500
Aug 20171,500
Jul 20171,600
Jun 20171,600
May 20171,600
Apr 20171,500
Mar 20171,500
Feb 20171,600
Jan 20171,650
Dec 20161,675
Nov 20161,450
Oct 20161,280

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2437-76-retail-kg.