Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Food basket in Kanyosha

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per person per month

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

What is in the basket

For one person for one month: 12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 L Oil (palm).

A simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket. How the basket is made.

November 2026: 80 % range

29,119–40,071

BIF per person per month. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

29,200–42,604

BIF per person per month. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Why so wide? Food prices really move this much, especially around the harvest and the lean season, and WFP publishes prices about two months late, so “next month” is about three months after the last known price. A narrower range would look more precise but be wrong more often. Use the most likely value for the direction and the upper end as a margin. More about the ranges

A staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 32,410 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 29,119 and 40,071 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 29,200 and 42,604 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.

Basket cost and forecast

Food basket in Kanyosha: BIF per person per monthA staple basket for one person for one month (12 kg Cassava flour, 1.8 kg Beans (haricot, yellow), 0.75 l Oil (palm)) cost about 32,410 BIF in August 2026. November 2026: most likely between 29,119 and 40,071 BIF (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 29,200 and 42,604 BIF (8 in 10 chance). This is a simple ration-based basket made by Staple Signals, not an official minimum expenditure basket.020,00040,00060,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range

BIF per person per month. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 64,781); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per person per month)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 30,902–35,289 32,788 29,596–37,304
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 29,901–37,002 32,725 28,442–42,268
Nov 2026
Next month		 29,119–40,071 33,081 27,666–48,585
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 28,517–44,880 33,197 26,988–64,781
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 29,200–42,604 34,136 26,100–47,337
Cost history (93 months, latest first)
Observed basket cost (BIF per person per month)
MonthCost
Aug 202632,410
Jul 202632,355
Jun 202633,390
May 202636,535
Apr 202633,370
Mar 202631,958
Feb 202632,867
Jan 202631,580
Dec 202529,083
Nov 202529,295
Oct 202530,872
Sept 202533,757
Aug 202532,545
Jul 202533,675
Jun 202534,905
May 202535,625
Apr 202534,833
Mar 202534,497
Feb 202533,313
Jan 202533,514
Dec 202432,983
Nov 202430,175
Oct 202427,977
Sept 202426,988
Aug 202427,646
Jul 202429,376
Jun 202425,691
May 202430,025
Apr 202431,783
Mar 202431,534
Feb 202430,412
Jan 202431,385
Dec 202330,682
Nov 202331,235
Oct 202332,180
Sept 202332,114
Aug 202330,465
Jul 202330,310
Jun 202334,505
May 202335,332
Apr 202336,848
Mar 202337,269
Feb 202331,241
Jan 202329,250
Dec 202224,525
Nov 202222,430
Oct 202221,799
Sept 202220,466
Aug 202219,628
Jun 202219,710
May 202221,402
Apr 202220,320
Mar 202219,314
Feb 202219,389
Jan 202218,839
Oct 202118,810
Sept 202117,755
May 202117,068
Apr 202117,122
Mar 202116,055
Feb 202116,923
Jan 202115,886
Dec 202015,628
Nov 202016,479
Oct 202013,860
Sept 202015,232
Aug 202014,930
Jul 202013,731
Jun 202014,346
Mar 202015,667
Feb 202014,471
Jan 202015,218
Dec 201912,797
Oct 201911,601
Aug 201910,781
Jul 201911,147
Jun 201911,384
May 201912,239
Mar 201911,132
Feb 201910,573
Jan 201912,510
Dec 201812,975
Nov 201812,613
Oct 201812,030
Sept 201812,109
Aug 201811,643
Jul 201813,346
Jun 201813,349
May 201815,682
Apr 201814,365
Mar 201812,772
Feb 201815,176
Jan 201815,222

Track record of the basket forecasts in Burundi

How past basket forecasts did in a test on earlier data (2023-01 onwards). Full track record.

Past basket forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Cases
Estimate (last month) 81% 94% 5% 1,874
Estimate (this month) 79% 93% 8% 1,810
Next month 78% 92% 10% 1,746
In 2 months 77% 91% 11% 1,683
In 3 months 78% 91% 13% 1,620