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Maize (white) in Kayero

Rutana, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 30% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,257–1,978

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,214–2,083

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,257 and 1,978 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,214 and 2,083 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kayero: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 30% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,257 and 1,978 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,214 and 2,083 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 3,263); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,224–1,613 1,402 1,126–1,974 2,019 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,225–1,788 1,429 1,076–2,126 2,094 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,257–1,978 1,453 1,071–2,985 2,198 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,244–2,152 1,499 1,084–3,263 2,308 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,214–2,083 1,465 999–2,670 2,230 –
Price history (101 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,275
Jun 20261,278
May 20261,312
Apr 20261,235
Mar 20261,967
Feb 20261,962
Jan 20261,851
Dec 20251,701
Nov 20251,594
Oct 20251,575
Sept 20251,556
Aug 20251,500
Jul 20251,565
Jun 20251,568
May 20251,363
Apr 20251,505
Mar 20251,303
Feb 20252,032
Jan 20252,223
Dec 20242,309
Nov 20242,036
Oct 20241,953
Sept 20241,966
Aug 20241,741
Jul 20241,590
Jun 20241,569
May 20241,340
Apr 20241,250
Mar 20241,367
Feb 20241,644
Jan 20241,897
Nov 20231,700
Oct 20231,767
Sept 20231,946
Aug 20231,700
Jul 20231,667
Jun 20231,594
May 20231,420
Apr 20231,525
Mar 20231,796
Feb 20232,000
Dec 20221,848
Nov 20221,910
Oct 20221,421
Sept 20221,392
Aug 20221,317
Jun 2022925
May 2022923
Apr 2022893
Mar 2022917
Feb 20221,233
Jan 2022967
May 2021700
Apr 2021666
Mar 2021804
Feb 2021944
Jan 2021925
Dec 2020930
Nov 2020883
Oct 2020900
Sept 2020819
Aug 2020930
Jul 2020776
Jun 2020809
Mar 2020750
Feb 2020960
Jan 20201,000
Dec 2019960
Oct 2019867
Aug 2019725
Jul 2019830
Jun 2019533
May 2019510
Mar 2019567
Feb 2019792
Jan 2019808
Dec 2018717
Nov 2018633
Oct 2018560
Sept 2018592
Aug 2018617
Jul 2018600
Jun 2018590
May 2018488
Apr 2018400
Mar 2018500
Jan 2018900
Dec 2017950
Oct 20171,150
Sept 20171,000
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017950
Jun 2017900
May 2017800
Apr 2017850
Mar 2017700
Feb 20171,050
Jan 20171,150
Dec 20161,200
Nov 20161,110
Oct 2016950

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2438-67-retail-kg.