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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kayero

Rutana, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,809–4,520

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,533–4,556

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 16% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,809 and 4,520 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,533 and 4,556 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kayero: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 16% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,809 and 4,520 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,533 and 4,556 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,696); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,793–3,628 3,073 2,476–4,308 3,310 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,827–4,114 3,206 2,258–5,072 3,603 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,809–4,520 3,157 2,267–5,370 3,691 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,797–4,518 3,282 2,329–5,696 4,009 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,533–4,556 3,060 2,246–5,034 3,331 –
Price history (102 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,050
Jun 20263,133
May 20263,622
Apr 20264,200
Mar 20262,935
Feb 20262,894
Jan 20262,808
Dec 20252,707
Nov 20252,371
Oct 20252,856
Sept 20252,642
Aug 20252,470
Jul 20252,332
Jun 20252,208
May 20252,783
Apr 20252,918
Mar 20253,353
Feb 20253,131
Jan 20253,148
Dec 20243,541
Nov 20243,415
Oct 20243,318
Sept 20243,155
Aug 20242,724
Jul 20242,525
Jun 20242,208
May 20242,583
Apr 20243,500
Mar 20243,222
Feb 20242,547
Jan 20242,485
Nov 20232,475
Oct 20232,575
Sept 20232,696
Aug 20232,500
Jul 20232,033
Jun 20231,891
May 20233,030
Apr 20233,125
Mar 20232,850
Feb 20232,675
Dec 20222,520
Nov 20222,303
Oct 20221,777
Sept 20221,412
Aug 20221,367
Jun 20221,250
May 20221,304
Apr 20221,467
Mar 2022942
Feb 2022983
Jan 2022967
May 20211,450
Apr 20211,506
Mar 20211,529
Feb 20211,367
Jan 20211,300
Dec 20201,777
Nov 20201,714
Oct 20201,550
Sept 20201,447
Aug 20201,435
Jul 20201,150
Jun 20201,122
Mar 20201,450
Feb 20201,240
Jan 20201,133
Dec 20191,080
Nov 20191,067
Oct 20191,067
Aug 2019908
Jul 20191,080
Jun 2019667
May 20191,020
Mar 20191,250
Feb 2019983
Jan 2019992
Dec 20181,350
Nov 20181,200
Oct 20181,140
Sept 2018975
Aug 2018883
Jul 2018833
Jun 2018830
May 2018850
Apr 20181,000
Mar 2018900
Jan 20181,000
Dec 20171,100
Oct 20171,250
Sept 20171,033
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017850
May 2017950
Apr 20171,300
Mar 20171,500
Feb 20171,600
Jan 20171,450
Dec 20161,500
Nov 20161,200
Oct 20161,025

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2438-829-retail-kg.