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Maize (white) in Kayogoro

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 14% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,239–1,862

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,224–1,943

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,239 and 1,862 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,224 and 1,943 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kayogoro: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,239 and 1,862 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,224 and 1,943 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,192–1,584 1,375 1,098–1,806 1,806 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,244–1,749 1,526 1,141–1,891 2,339 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,239–1,862 1,485 1,155–2,360 2,102 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,244–1,897 1,513 1,141–2,382 2,277 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,224–1,943 1,507 1,088–2,280 2,158 –
Price history (102 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,356
Jul 20261,200
Jun 20261,375
May 20261,333
Apr 20261,200
Mar 20261,382
Feb 20261,828
Jan 20261,670
Dec 20252,008
Nov 20251,527
Oct 20251,536
Sept 20251,369
Aug 20251,200
Jul 20251,400
Jun 20251,350
May 20251,144
Apr 20251,402
Mar 20251,298
Feb 20252,470
Jan 20252,482
Dec 20242,449
Nov 20242,092
Oct 20242,033
Sept 20241,742
Aug 20241,669
Jul 20241,500
Jun 20241,109
May 20241,181
Apr 20241,033
Mar 20241,226
Feb 20241,506
Jan 20241,750
Dec 20231,692
Nov 20231,700
Oct 20231,852
Sept 20231,767
Aug 20231,700
Jul 20231,600
Jun 20231,386
May 20231,345
Apr 20231,233
Mar 20232,000
Feb 20232,125
Dec 20221,928
Nov 20222,165
Oct 20221,690
Sept 20221,529
Aug 20221,383
Jul 20221,200
May 2022897
Apr 2022833
Mar 2022931
Feb 2022850
Jan 20221,167
Oct 2021900
May 2021677
Apr 2021661
Mar 2021782
Feb 20211,033
Jan 20211,050
Dec 2020950
Nov 2020883
Oct 2020850
Sept 2020813
Aug 2020748
Jul 2020694
Jun 2020633
Mar 2020593
Feb 2020860
Dec 20191,175
Oct 2019975
Aug 2019800
Jul 2019883
Jun 2019533
May 2019490
Mar 2019612
Feb 2019720
Jan 2019833
Dec 2018780
Nov 2018625
Oct 2018617
Sept 2018533
Aug 2018550
Jul 2018500
Jun 2018530
May 2018487
Apr 2018488
Mar 2018550
Feb 2018600
Jan 2018880
Dec 2017950
Nov 20171,050
Oct 20171,250
Sept 20171,050
May 20171,050
Apr 20171,000
Mar 20171,000
Feb 20171,275
Jan 20171,217
Dec 20161,200
Nov 20161,033Break
Oct 20165,300

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2439-67-retail-kg.