Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Maize flour in Kayogoro

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,877–2,487

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,818–2,629

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,877 and 2,487 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,818 and 2,629 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Kayogoro: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,877 and 2,487 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,818 and 2,629 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,854–2,132 1,948 1,736–2,388 2,426 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,851–2,256 2,010 1,673–2,542 2,485 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,877–2,487 2,064 1,759–3,198 2,712 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,903–2,586 2,147 1,726–3,495 2,861 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,818–2,629 2,100 1,620–3,465 2,758 –
Price history (102 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,922
Jul 20262,000
Jun 20261,825
May 20261,856
Apr 20261,900
Mar 20262,018
Feb 20262,408
Jan 20262,148
Dec 20252,056
Nov 20252,000
Oct 20252,000
Sept 20252,000
Aug 20251,800
Jul 20251,933
Jun 20251,825
May 20252,024
Apr 20251,983
Mar 20251,922
Feb 20252,926
Jan 20252,909
Dec 20242,849
Nov 20242,438
Oct 20242,242
Sept 20242,070
Aug 20241,946
Jul 20241,750
Jun 20241,659
May 20241,739
Apr 20241,841
Mar 20241,794
Feb 20242,000
Jan 20242,000
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,000
Oct 20232,131
Sept 20232,154
Aug 20232,000
Jul 20231,800
Jun 20231,723
May 20231,815
Apr 20231,635
Mar 20232,340
Feb 20232,412
Dec 20222,342
Nov 20222,365
Oct 20221,869
Sept 20221,638
Aug 20221,804
Jul 20221,300
May 20221,118
Apr 20221,033
Mar 20221,195
Feb 20221,412
Jan 20221,367
Oct 20211,100
May 2021900
Apr 2021903
Mar 2021918
Feb 20211,178
Jan 20211,200
Dec 20201,150
Nov 20201,150
Oct 20201,000
Sept 2020991
Aug 2020913
Jul 2020865
Jun 2020828
Mar 2020800
Feb 20201,100
Dec 20191,375
Oct 20191,100
Aug 20191,000
Jul 20191,050
Jun 2019750
May 2019680
Mar 2019850
Feb 2019942
Jan 20191,017
Dec 2018940
Nov 2018817
Oct 2018800
Sept 2018792
Aug 2018800
Jul 2018800
Jun 2018780
May 2018758
Apr 2018700
Mar 2018900
Feb 2018800
Jan 20181,020
Dec 20171,050
Nov 20171,150
Oct 20171,350
Sept 20171,250
May 20171,250
Apr 20171,200
Mar 20171,200
Feb 20171,400
Jan 20171,400
Dec 20161,400
Nov 20161,162
Oct 20161,050

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2439-76-retail-kg.