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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kayogoro

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,440–3,800

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,195–4,142

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 23% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,440 and 3,800 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,195 and 4,142 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kayogoro: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 23% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,440 and 3,800 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,195 and 4,142 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,361); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,396–3,185 2,736 2,183–3,774 3,121 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,405–3,538 2,814 2,055–4,322 3,269 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,440–3,800 2,879 2,072–4,276 3,618 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,401–3,959 2,870 2,068–5,170 3,599 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,195–4,142 2,685 2,029–6,361 3,049 –
Price history (104 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,611
Jul 20262,300
Jun 20262,550
May 20263,383
Apr 20263,650
Mar 20262,820
Feb 20262,477
Jan 20262,436
Dec 20252,489
Nov 20252,401
Oct 20252,521
Sept 20252,281
Aug 20252,167
Jul 20252,500
Jun 20252,500
May 20252,339
Apr 20253,175
Mar 20253,259
Feb 20252,938
Jan 20252,500
Dec 20243,562
Nov 20243,392
Oct 20243,300
Sept 20242,721
Aug 20242,631
Jul 20242,400
Jun 20242,031
May 20242,486
Apr 20243,126
Mar 20243,161
Feb 20242,706
Jan 20242,150
Dec 20232,217
Nov 20232,600
Oct 20232,593
Sept 20232,518
Aug 20232,450
Jul 20232,067
Jun 20231,891
May 20233,415
Apr 20233,340
Mar 20233,081
Feb 20232,584
Dec 20222,258
Nov 20222,235
Oct 20221,636
Sept 20221,517
Aug 20221,325
Jul 20221,300
May 20221,327
Apr 20221,433
Mar 2022964
Feb 2022825
Jan 20221,100
Oct 20211,100
May 20211,367
Apr 20211,400
Mar 20211,500
Feb 20211,378
Jan 20211,200
Dec 20201,625
Nov 20201,683
Oct 20201,450
Sept 20201,372
Aug 20201,213
Jul 20201,156
Jun 2020933
Mar 20201,433
Feb 20201,040
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,125
Nov 20191,100
Oct 20191,083
Aug 2019940
Jul 20191,083
Jun 2019717
May 2019830
Mar 2019988
Feb 20191,075
Jan 2019967
Dec 20181,240
Nov 20181,050
Oct 20181,017
Sept 2018958
Aug 2018800
Jul 2018825
Jun 2018760
May 2018933
Apr 2018925
Mar 2018775
Feb 2018750
Jan 2018860
Dec 2017925
Nov 20171,175
Oct 20171,250
Sept 20171,150
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,500
Mar 20171,500
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,410
Nov 20161,275
Oct 20161,200

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2439-829-retail-kg.