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Maize (white) in Kayongozi

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 31% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,203–1,838

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,175–1,919

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,203 and 1,838 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,175 and 1,919 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kayongozi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 31% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 3% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,203 and 1,838 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,175 and 1,919 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,167–1,517 1,315 1,064–1,574 1,921 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,170–1,635 1,362 1,014–1,814 2,056 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,203–1,838 1,411 1,047–2,105 2,262 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,221–2,011 1,471 1,036–2,927 2,467 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,175–1,919 1,435 991–1,933 2,272 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,217
Jul 20261,200
Jun 20261,199
May 20261,177
Apr 20261,095
Mar 20261,483
Feb 20261,865
Jan 20262,109
Dec 20251,950
Nov 20251,400
Oct 20251,479
Sept 20251,325
Aug 20251,367
Jul 20251,392
Jun 20251,435
May 20251,304
Apr 20251,238
Mar 20251,537
Feb 20252,141
Jan 20252,439
Dec 20242,685
Nov 20242,281
Oct 20241,917
Sept 20241,704
Aug 20241,550
Jul 20241,617
Jun 20241,340
May 20241,098
Apr 20241,211
Mar 20241,183
Feb 20241,633
Jan 20241,900
Nov 20232,100
Oct 20232,043
Sept 20231,915
Aug 20231,854
Jul 20231,963
Jun 20231,498
May 20231,532
Apr 20231,625
Mar 20231,950
Feb 20231,900
Dec 20222,073
Nov 20222,076
Oct 20221,617
Sept 20221,438
Aug 20221,422
Jun 2022850
May 2022810
Apr 2022800
Mar 20221,030
Feb 20221,056
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,150
May 2021680
Apr 2021688
Mar 2021750
Feb 20211,044
Jan 20211,025
Dec 2020988
Nov 2020914
Oct 2020700
Sept 2020775
Aug 2020789
Jul 2020801
Jun 2020667
Mar 2020683
Feb 2020933
Jan 20201,133
Dec 20191,083
Oct 2019833
Aug 2019800
Jul 2019917
Jun 2019450
May 2019425
Mar 2019633
Feb 2019775
Jan 2019650
Dec 2018633
Nov 2018579
Oct 2018492
Sept 2018533
Aug 2018508
Jul 2018500
Jun 2018447
May 2018433
Apr 2018438
Mar 2018450
Feb 2018683
Jan 2018900
Dec 20171,020
Nov 20171,000
Oct 20171,217
Sept 20171,100
Aug 20171,020
Jul 2017980
Jun 2017983
May 2017967
Apr 2017850
Mar 2017975
Feb 2017825
Jan 2017800
Dec 20161,200
Nov 2016938
Oct 20161,000

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2440-67-retail-kg.