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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kayongozi

Ruyigi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 14% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,412–3,964

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,296–4,506

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 40% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,412 and 3,964 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,296 and 4,506 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kayongozi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 14% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 40% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,412 and 3,964 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,296 and 4,506 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,746); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,410–3,144 2,681 2,226–4,145 3,288 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,362–3,579 2,723 2,143–4,133 3,252 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,412–3,964 2,794 2,223–4,855 3,768 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,388–4,260 2,796 2,245–7,172 4,054 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,296–4,506 2,778 2,187–8,746 3,557 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,417
Jul 20262,325
Jun 20262,538
May 20263,995
Apr 20264,525
Mar 20263,067
Feb 20262,772
Jan 20263,058
Dec 20252,673
Nov 20252,472
Oct 20252,350
Sept 20252,500
Aug 20252,167
Jul 20252,446
Jun 20252,348
May 20252,908
Apr 20253,143
Mar 20253,292
Feb 20253,456
Jan 20253,481
Dec 20243,818
Nov 20243,444
Oct 20243,144
Sept 20243,248
Aug 20242,719
Jul 20242,400
Jun 20242,305
May 20243,131
Apr 20243,500
Mar 20243,100
Feb 20242,267
Jan 20242,283
Nov 20232,600
Oct 20232,553
Sept 20232,582
Aug 20232,385
Jul 20232,157
Jun 20231,648
May 20233,271
Apr 20233,375
Mar 20233,625
Feb 20233,033
Dec 20222,645
Nov 20222,523
Oct 20221,817
Sept 20221,550
Aug 20221,375
Jun 20221,500
May 20221,733
Apr 20221,733
Mar 20221,191
Feb 20221,244
Jan 20221,100
Oct 20211,100
May 20211,300
Apr 20211,456
Mar 20211,500
Feb 20211,306
Jan 20211,600
Dec 20201,728
Nov 20201,678
Oct 20201,433
Sept 20201,325
Aug 20201,211
Jul 20201,081
Jun 2020967
Mar 20201,400
Feb 20201,267
Jan 20201,267
Dec 20191,200
Nov 20191,140
Oct 20191,117
Aug 2019967
Jul 20191,083
Jun 2019867
May 20191,183
Mar 20191,167
Feb 20191,108
Jan 20191,067
Dec 20181,275
Nov 20181,043
Oct 2018958
Sept 2018933
Aug 2018833
Jul 2018858
Jun 2018825
May 20181,100
Apr 2018925
Mar 2018875
Feb 2018850
Jan 2018975
Dec 20171,180
Nov 20171,233
Oct 20171,267
Sept 20171,160
Aug 2017990
Jul 2017980
Jun 2017883
May 2017917
Apr 20171,267
Mar 20171,358
Feb 20171,567
Jan 20171,567
Dec 20161,446
Nov 20161,236
Oct 20161,014

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2440-829-retail-kg.