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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kigamba

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 16% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,411–3,983

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,350–4,659

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,411 and 3,983 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,350 and 4,659 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kigamba: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 11% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,411 and 3,983 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,350 and 4,659 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,616); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,480–3,286 2,786 2,231–3,916 3,252 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,427–3,792 2,903 2,177–4,502 3,492 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,411–3,983 2,821 2,130–4,846 3,524 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,383–4,286 2,839 2,139–5,328 3,624 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,350–4,659 2,886 2,082–6,616 3,607 –
Price history (108 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20263,000
Aug 20262,603
Jul 20262,500
Jun 20262,062
May 20262,941
Apr 20264,742
Mar 20263,029
Feb 20262,929
Jan 20262,561
Dec 20252,200
Nov 20252,356
Oct 20252,635
Sept 20252,478
Aug 20252,667
Jul 20252,567
Jun 20252,704
May 20253,006
Apr 20253,535
Mar 20253,867
Feb 20253,425
Jan 20253,143
Dec 20243,483
Nov 20243,290
Oct 20243,152
Sept 20243,133
Aug 20242,765
Jul 20242,179
Jun 20242,178
May 20242,676
Apr 20242,933
Mar 20242,945
Feb 20242,640
Jan 20242,093
Dec 20232,600
Nov 20232,575
Oct 20232,947
Sept 20232,738
Aug 20232,578
Jul 20232,400
Jun 20231,861
May 20232,681
Apr 20233,592
Mar 20233,397
Feb 20233,102
Jan 20233,200
Dec 20222,505
Nov 20222,180
Oct 20221,998
Sept 20221,785
Aug 20221,498
May 20221,582
Apr 20221,567
Mar 20221,067
Feb 20221,067
Jan 2022933
Oct 20211,100
Sept 20211,067
May 20211,017
Apr 20211,238
Mar 20211,424
Feb 20211,533
Jan 20211,327
Dec 20201,339
Nov 20201,417
Sept 20201,456
Aug 20201,367
Jul 20201,098
Jun 2020949
Mar 20201,320
Feb 20201,167
Jan 20201,133
Dec 20191,050
Nov 20191,067
Oct 20191,200
Aug 20191,092
Jul 20191,200
Jun 2019767
May 2019950
Mar 20191,067
Feb 2019908
Jan 2019967
Dec 20181,133
Nov 2018967
Oct 2018958
Sept 2018900
Aug 2018867
Jul 2018767
Jun 2018742
May 2018883
Apr 2018856
Mar 2018875
Feb 2018880
Jan 20181,700
Dec 20171,000
Nov 20171,025
Oct 20171,100
Sept 20171,150
Aug 2017962
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 20171,000
Apr 20171,300
Mar 20171,400
Feb 20171,483
Jan 20171,350
Dec 20161,229
Nov 20161,167
Oct 20161,183

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2441-829-retail-kg.