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Maize (white) in Kinama

Bujumbura Rural, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,496–2,381

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,459–2,744

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,496 and 2,381 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,459 and 2,744 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Kinama: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 11% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,496 and 2,381 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,459 and 2,744 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,999); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,445–1,837 1,623 1,310–2,505 2,067 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,451–2,055 1,683 1,328–3,094 2,210 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,496–2,381 1,712 1,282–5,010 2,380 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,521–2,480 1,812 1,347–4,664 2,573 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,459–2,744 1,774 1,304–6,999 2,425 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20261,700
Aug 20261,583
Jun 20261,450
May 20261,432
Apr 20261,467
Mar 20261,488
Feb 20261,857
Jan 20261,959
Dec 20251,942
Nov 20251,962
Oct 20252,113
Sept 20251,700
Aug 20251,625
Jul 20251,608
Jun 20251,478
May 20251,314
Apr 20251,486
Mar 20251,391
Feb 20252,196
Jan 20252,500
Dec 20242,611
Nov 20242,450
Oct 20242,036
Sept 20242,030
Aug 20241,822
Jul 20241,533
Jun 20241,442
May 20241,417
Apr 20241,333
Mar 20241,435
Feb 20241,553
Jan 20241,916
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,117
Oct 20232,007
Sept 20232,082
Aug 20231,892
Jul 20231,800
Jun 20231,767
May 20231,633
Apr 20231,673
Mar 20231,751
Feb 20231,684
Jan 20231,850
Dec 20222,032
Nov 20222,000
Oct 20221,500
Sept 20221,525
Aug 20221,600
Jul 20221,350
May 20221,017
Apr 2022871
Mar 2022975
Feb 2022967
Jan 20221,150
Oct 20211,000
Sept 2021983
May 2021750
Apr 2021732
Mar 2021692
Feb 2021775
Jan 20211,067
Dec 20201,383
Nov 2020800
Sept 2020850
Aug 2020900
Jul 2020775
Jun 2020750
Mar 2020667
Feb 2020808
Jan 20201,367
Dec 20191,100
Oct 2019925
Aug 2019700
Jul 2019800
Jun 2019633
May 2019575
Mar 2019590
Feb 2019800
Jan 2019700
Dec 2018750
Nov 2018675
Oct 2018633
Sept 2018633
Aug 2018675
Jul 2018650
Jun 2018620
May 2018660
Apr 2018558
Mar 2018550
Feb 2018610
Dec 2017958
Nov 20171,033
Oct 20171,150
Sept 20171,175
Aug 20171,150
Jul 20171,175
Jun 20171,100
May 20171,175
Apr 20171,100
Mar 2017980
Feb 20171,117
Jan 20171,286
Dec 20161,312
Nov 20161,111
Oct 2016956

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2442-67-retail-kg.