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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kinama

Bujumbura Rural, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,961–4,910

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,726–5,264

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

13%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 34% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,961 and 4,910 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,726 and 5,264 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 13%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kinama: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 34% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,961 and 4,910 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,726 and 5,264 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 13%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,328); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,970–3,772 3,288 2,651–4,507 3,232 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,980–4,332 3,372 2,505–5,743 3,522 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,961–4,910 3,346 2,442–6,681 3,690 13%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,927–5,191 3,347 2,425–8,328 3,777 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,726–5,264 3,294 2,545–7,829 3,473 –
Price history (107 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20263,500
Aug 20263,224
Jun 20262,833
May 20264,863
Apr 20264,125
Mar 20263,307
Feb 20262,817
Jan 20262,671
Dec 20252,615
Nov 20252,461
Oct 20253,318
Sept 20252,925
Aug 20252,692
Jul 20252,700
Jun 20252,755
May 20252,614
Apr 20253,230
Mar 20253,171
Feb 20253,071
Jan 20253,235
Dec 20243,587
Nov 20243,288
Oct 20242,964
Sept 20242,868
Aug 20242,783
Jul 20242,356
Jun 20242,342
May 20242,561
Apr 20242,900
Mar 20242,618
Feb 20242,770
Jan 20242,287
Dec 20232,633
Nov 20232,933
Oct 20232,800
Sept 20232,836
Aug 20232,633
Jul 20232,533
Jun 20232,567
May 20232,717
Apr 20233,467
Mar 20233,401
Feb 20233,154
Jan 20232,833
Dec 20221,933
Nov 20221,933
Oct 20221,806
Sept 20221,592
Aug 20221,444
Jul 20221,362
May 20221,900
Apr 20221,558
Mar 20221,217
Feb 20221,133
Jan 20221,133
Oct 20211,350
Sept 20211,167
May 20211,300
Apr 20211,438
Mar 20211,431
Feb 20211,367
Jan 20211,158
Dec 20201,622
Nov 20201,667
Sept 20201,367
Aug 20201,283
Jul 20201,117
Jun 20201,175
Mar 20201,375
Feb 20201,283
Jan 20201,167
Dec 20191,183
Nov 20191,117
Oct 20191,067
Aug 2019908
Jul 20191,117
Jun 2019900
May 20191,133
Mar 20191,050
Feb 20191,067
Jan 20191,133
Dec 20181,225
Nov 20181,133
Oct 20181,050
Sept 20181,042
Aug 20181,075
Jul 2018940
Jun 20181,016
May 20181,220
Apr 20181,008
Mar 2018860
Feb 2018840
Dec 20171,067
Nov 20171,183
Oct 20171,250
Sept 20171,125
Aug 20171,050
Jul 20171,025
Jun 20171,088
May 20171,112
Apr 20171,362
Mar 20171,360
Feb 20171,558
Jan 20171,529
Dec 20161,538
Nov 20161,303
Oct 20161,194

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2442-829-retail-kg.