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Maize flour in Kivyuka

Bubanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,877–2,595

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,844–2,720

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 9% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,877 and 2,595 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,844 and 2,720 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Kivyuka: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 9% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,877 and 2,595 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,844 and 2,720 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,895–2,189 2,000 1,811–2,452 2,472 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,888–2,365 2,097 1,815–2,741 2,662 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,877–2,595 2,154 1,869–3,392 2,887 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,880–2,754 2,205 1,754–3,803 2,935 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,844–2,720 2,189 1,712–3,110 2,909 –
Price history (109 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20261,900
Aug 20261,974
Jul 20262,000
Jun 20261,898
May 20261,817
Apr 20261,967
Mar 20262,061
Feb 20262,426
Jan 20262,500
Dec 20252,445
Nov 20252,434
Oct 20252,371
Sept 20252,067
Aug 20251,900
Jul 20251,900
Jun 20251,924
May 20251,861
Apr 20251,781
Mar 20251,973
Feb 20252,682
Jan 20253,111
Dec 20243,056
Nov 20242,681
Oct 20242,350
Sept 20242,182
Aug 20241,802
Jul 20241,741
Jun 20241,750
May 20241,617
Apr 20241,667
Mar 20241,733
Feb 20242,017
Jan 20242,262
Dec 20232,300
Nov 20232,300
Oct 20232,260
Sept 20232,279
Aug 20232,225
Jul 20232,100
Jun 20232,000
May 20232,000
Apr 20232,078
Mar 20232,011
Feb 20232,000
Jan 20232,400
Dec 20222,306
Nov 20222,296
Oct 20222,162
Sept 20221,861
Aug 20221,650
Jul 20221,467
May 20221,275
Apr 20221,200
Mar 20221,161
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,500
Oct 20211,250
Sept 20211,200
May 20211,000
Apr 2021982
Mar 2021921
Feb 20211,050
Jan 20211,217
Dec 20201,225
Nov 20201,217
Oct 20201,200
Sept 20201,142
Aug 20201,150
Jul 20201,009
Jun 2020967
Mar 2020960
Feb 2020720
Jan 20201,367
Dec 20191,200
Oct 20191,200
Aug 2019850
Jul 20191,083
Jun 2019700
May 2019738
Mar 2019680
Feb 20191,000
Jan 2019900
Dec 2018925
Nov 2018825
Oct 2018800
Sept 2018800
Aug 2018750
Jul 2018712
Jun 2018750
May 2018760
Apr 2018750
Mar 2018770
Feb 2018833
Jan 2018950
Dec 20171,050
Nov 20171,175
Oct 20171,200
Sept 20171,233
Aug 20171,250
Jul 20171,217
Jun 20171,300
May 20171,367
Apr 20171,325
Mar 20171,425
Feb 20171,467
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,500
Nov 20161,300
Oct 20161,180

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2443-76-retail-kg.