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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Kivyuka

Bubanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 8% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,084–4,964

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,621–5,501

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 42% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,084 and 4,964 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,621 and 5,501 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Kivyuka: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 8% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 42% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,084 and 4,964 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,621 and 5,501 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 10,310); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,143–4,011 3,452 2,889–5,183 3,735 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,140–4,445 3,560 2,825–6,444 3,931 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,084–4,964 3,521 2,731–6,830 4,098 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,003–5,270 3,493 2,743–10,039 4,096 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,621–5,501 3,314 2,590–10,310 3,481 –
Price history (110 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20263,000
Aug 20263,233
Jul 20263,075
Jun 20263,580
May 20265,542
Apr 20264,700
Mar 20263,372
Feb 20263,254
Jan 20262,656
Dec 20253,193
Nov 20253,306
Oct 20253,368
Sept 20253,283
Aug 20253,000
Jul 20253,000
Jun 20252,953
May 20253,161
Apr 20253,785
Mar 20253,719
Feb 20253,325
Jan 20253,039
Dec 20244,078
Nov 20243,635
Oct 20243,542
Sept 20243,529
Aug 20242,985
Jul 20242,891
Jun 20242,650
May 20242,983
Apr 20243,033
Mar 20243,056
Feb 20242,950
Jan 20242,338
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20232,900
Oct 20233,029
Sept 20233,036
Aug 20233,000
Jul 20232,617
Jun 20232,500
May 20233,333
Apr 20233,817
Mar 20233,744
Feb 20233,250
Jan 20233,000
Dec 20222,282
Nov 20222,346
Oct 20221,956
Sept 20221,922
Aug 20221,533
Jul 20221,483
May 20222,350
Apr 20221,888
Mar 20221,483
Feb 20221,400
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,300
Sept 20211,283
May 20211,550
Apr 20211,557
Mar 20211,615
Feb 20211,550
Jan 20211,150
Dec 20201,475
Nov 20201,725
Oct 20201,750
Sept 20201,590
Aug 20201,475
Jul 20201,345
Jun 20201,344
Mar 20201,480
Feb 20201,260
Jan 20201,133
Dec 20191,200
Nov 20191,130
Oct 20191,267
Aug 20191,233
Jul 20191,267
Jun 20191,000
May 20191,325
Mar 20191,300
Feb 20191,150
Jan 20191,200
Dec 20181,175
Nov 20181,162
Oct 20181,230
Sept 20181,160
Aug 20181,117
Jul 20181,175
Jun 20181,150
May 20181,220
Apr 20181,208
Mar 20181,160
Feb 20181,100
Jan 2018917
Dec 20171,150
Nov 20171,250
Oct 20171,288
Sept 20171,200
Aug 20171,200
Jul 20171,133
Jun 20171,033
May 20171,067
Apr 20171,475
Mar 20171,367
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,533
Dec 20161,557
Nov 20161,343
Oct 20161,300

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2443-829-retail-kg.