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Maize (white) in Mabanda

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 23% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,413–2,040

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,375–2,120

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

1%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,413 and 2,040 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,375 and 2,120 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Mabanda: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 23% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 4% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,413 and 2,040 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,375 and 2,120 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 1%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,390–1,715 1,518 1,311–1,840 2,009 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,377–1,885 1,581 1,307–1,982 2,123 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,413–2,040 1,648 1,296–2,494 2,368 1%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,425–2,119 1,690 1,277–2,577 2,448 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,375–2,120 1,671 1,236–2,380 2,365 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,422
Jul 20261,500
Jun 20261,450
May 20261,367
Apr 20261,500
Mar 20261,660
Feb 20261,895
Jan 20261,875
Dec 20251,738
Nov 20251,775
Oct 20251,597
Sept 20251,500
Aug 20251,550
Jul 20251,500
Jun 20251,532
May 20251,365
Apr 20251,367
Mar 20251,325
Feb 20252,216
Jan 20252,696
Dec 20242,479
Nov 20242,231
Oct 20241,939
Sept 20241,892
Aug 20241,673
Jul 20241,477
Jun 20241,496
May 20241,319
Apr 20241,450
Mar 20241,469
Feb 20241,674
Jan 20241,764
Dec 20231,775
Nov 20231,850
Oct 20231,823
Sept 20231,930
Aug 20231,767
Jul 20231,642
Jun 20231,539
May 20231,535
Apr 20231,450
Mar 20232,106
Feb 20232,046
Dec 20222,088
Nov 20222,341
Oct 20221,769
Sept 20221,526
Aug 20221,431
Jun 20221,000
May 2022969
Apr 2022833
Mar 20221,025
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,225
Oct 20211,067
May 2021700
Apr 2021681
Mar 2021683
Feb 2021967
Jan 20211,025
Dec 20201,000
Nov 2020938
Oct 2020973
Sept 2020930
Aug 2020817
Jul 2020751
Jun 2020707
Mar 2020700
Feb 2020892
Jan 20201,400
Dec 20191,180
Oct 20191,017
Aug 2019800
Jul 20191,025
Jun 2019533
May 2019530
Mar 2019600
Feb 2019630
Jan 2019760
Dec 2018800
Nov 2018692
Oct 2018650
Sept 2018550
Aug 2018550
Jul 2018550
Jun 2018550
May 2018550
Apr 2018557
Mar 2018710
Feb 2018800
Jan 2018800
Dec 2017950
Nov 2017950
Oct 2017900
Sept 2017990
Aug 20171,200
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 2017967
Apr 2017900
Mar 20171,000
Feb 20171,100
Jan 20171,192
Dec 20161,200
Nov 20161,057
Oct 2016975

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2444-67-retail-kg.