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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Mabanda

Makamba, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 7% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,686–4,280

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,571–5,102

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 36% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,686 and 4,280 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,571 and 5,102 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Mabanda: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 36% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,686 and 4,280 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,571 and 5,102 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 11,234); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,654–3,348 2,941 2,514–4,718 3,301 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,680–3,841 3,043 2,425–5,606 3,576 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,686–4,280 3,101 2,513–6,668 3,848 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,652–4,610 3,086 2,484–8,772 3,799 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,571–5,102 3,024 2,445–11,234 3,641 –
Price history (107 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,733
Jul 20262,500
Jun 20262,467
May 20264,278
Apr 20264,500
Mar 20263,088
Feb 20262,910
Jan 20262,775
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,850
Oct 20252,786
Sept 20252,559
Aug 20252,750
Jul 20252,267
Jun 20252,220
May 20252,500
Apr 20253,200
Mar 20253,575
Feb 20253,219
Jan 20253,565
Dec 20243,388
Nov 20243,256
Oct 20243,338
Sept 20242,856
Aug 20242,590
Jul 20242,300
Jun 20242,229
May 20242,960
Apr 20243,350
Mar 20243,611
Feb 20243,052
Jan 20242,618
Dec 20232,800
Nov 20232,900
Oct 20232,690
Sept 20232,459
Aug 20232,450
Jul 20232,058
Jun 20231,974
May 20233,155
Apr 20233,425
Mar 20233,345
Feb 20232,878
Dec 20222,421
Nov 20222,318
Oct 20221,773
Sept 20221,597
Aug 20221,427
Jun 20221,500
May 20221,782
Apr 20221,733
Mar 20221,183
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,333
May 20211,250
Apr 20211,444
Mar 20211,631
Feb 20211,450
Jan 20211,567
Dec 20201,600
Nov 20201,600
Oct 20201,564
Sept 20201,525
Aug 20201,250
Jul 20201,119
Jun 2020998
Mar 20201,480
Feb 20201,233
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,140
Nov 20191,217
Oct 20191,167
Aug 2019840
Jul 20191,025
Jun 2019633
May 20191,080
Mar 20191,220
Feb 20191,017
Jan 20191,180
Dec 20181,220
Nov 20181,067
Oct 20181,050
Sept 20181,000
Aug 2018900
Jul 2018792
Jun 2018775
May 2018917
Apr 2018986
Mar 2018950
Feb 2018500Data error
Jan 2018900
Dec 20171,020
Nov 20171,250
Oct 20171,300
Sept 20171,040
Aug 20171,000
Jul 20171,000
Jun 20171,000
May 20171,183
Apr 20171,200
Mar 20171,700
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,300
Nov 20161,175
Oct 20161,200

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2444-829-retail-kg.