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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Mabayi

Cibitoke, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 1% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,348–5,981

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

3,134–7,132

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

12%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 39% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,348 and 5,981 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,134 and 7,132 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 12%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Mabayi: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 39% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,348 and 5,981 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,134 and 7,132 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 12%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,0008,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 18,402); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,335–4,542 3,662 3,060–6,227 3,765 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,350–5,425 3,739 2,870–10,133 4,215 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,348–5,981 3,863 2,950–8,379 4,530 12%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,342–6,046 3,903 2,897–8,719 4,641 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 3,134–7,132 3,746 2,707–18,402 4,046 –
Price history (107 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,417
Jul 20265,000
Jun 20263,804
May 20265,580
Apr 20265,583
Mar 20263,379
Feb 20263,205
Jan 20263,278
Dec 20253,380
Nov 20253,464
Oct 20253,535
Sept 20253,185
Aug 20252,953
Jul 20253,131
Jun 20253,272
May 20253,908
Apr 20253,982
Mar 20253,747
Feb 20253,398
Jan 20254,108
Dec 20244,397
Nov 20243,827
Oct 20243,288
Sept 20243,433
Aug 20243,128
Jul 20243,004
Jun 20242,906
May 20243,047
Apr 20243,181
Mar 20242,747
Feb 20242,362
Jan 20243,067
Dec 20233,600
Nov 20232,933
Oct 20233,354
Sept 20233,062
Aug 20232,575
Jul 20232,441
Jun 20232,955
May 20233,119
Apr 20233,904
Mar 20233,544
Feb 20232,556
Jan 20232,500
Dec 20222,382
Nov 20222,152
Oct 20221,898
Sept 20221,792
Aug 20221,488
May 20221,883
Apr 20221,533
Mar 20221,183
Feb 20221,133
Jan 20221,100
Sept 20211,225
May 20211,270
Apr 20211,688
Mar 20211,646
Feb 20211,411
Jan 20211,295
Dec 20201,795
Nov 20201,775
Oct 20201,600
Sept 20201,571
Aug 20201,444
Jul 20201,271
Jun 20201,171
Mar 20201,300
Feb 20201,208
Jan 20201,167
Dec 20191,167
Nov 20191,267
Oct 20191,233
Aug 20191,017
Jul 20191,183
Jun 20191,267
May 20191,380
Mar 20191,150
Feb 20191,000
Jan 20191,150
Dec 20181,150
Nov 20181,175
Oct 20181,083
Sept 2018967
Aug 2018917
Jul 2018967
Jun 20181,010
May 20181,117
Apr 2018989
Mar 20181,080
Feb 2018975
Jan 20181,088
Dec 20171,214
Nov 20171,325
Oct 20171,367
Sept 20171,300
Aug 20171,150
Jul 20171,125
Jun 20171,067
May 20171,300
Apr 20171,658
Mar 20171,688
Feb 20171,617
Jan 20171,586
Dec 20161,628
Nov 20161,667
Oct 20161,180

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2445-829-retail-kg.