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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Marangara

Ngozi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,678–4,561

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,392–5,021

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 36% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,678 and 4,561 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,392 and 5,021 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Marangara: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% above the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 36% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,678 and 4,561 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,392 and 5,021 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,962); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,700–3,617 3,070 2,553–4,337 3,090 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,700–4,229 3,167 2,437–5,065 3,430 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,678–4,561 3,130 2,433–6,012 3,575 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,590–4,987 3,175 2,532–8,962 3,712 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,392–5,021 3,040 2,348–8,613 3,069 –
Price history (101 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,000
Jul 20262,500
Jun 20262,500
May 20264,667
Apr 20264,250
Mar 20262,875
Feb 20262,500
Jan 20262,350
Dec 20252,533
Nov 20252,946
Oct 20252,921
Sept 20252,711
Aug 20252,533
Jul 20252,385
Jun 20252,112
May 20252,300
Apr 20252,496
Mar 20252,938
Feb 20252,919
Jan 20253,021
Dec 20243,634
Nov 20243,133
Oct 20243,089
Sept 20242,674
Aug 20242,380
Jul 20242,125
Jun 20241,933
May 20242,217
Apr 20242,275
Mar 20242,375
Feb 20242,300
Jan 20242,233
Dec 20232,400
Nov 20232,157
Oct 20232,760
Sept 20232,471
Aug 20232,367
Jul 20232,033
Jun 20231,900
May 20232,750
Apr 20233,317
Mar 20233,136
Feb 20232,814
Jan 20232,500
Dec 20222,300
Nov 20222,187
Oct 20221,740
Sept 20221,467
Aug 20221,325
May 20221,888
Apr 20221,585
Mar 2022933
Feb 20221,067
Jan 2022967
Oct 20211,267
May 20211,050
Apr 20211,013
Mar 20211,283
Feb 20211,278
Jan 20211,061
Dec 20201,454
Nov 20201,583
Sept 20201,362
Aug 20201,394
Jul 20201,156
Jun 20201,033
Mar 20201,350
Feb 20201,200
Jan 20201,100
Dec 20191,150
Nov 20191,200
Oct 20191,200
Aug 20191,083
Jul 20191,183
Jun 2019750
May 20191,200
Mar 20191,183
Feb 20191,167
Jan 20191,160
Dec 20181,317
Nov 20181,183
Oct 20181,167
Sept 20181,100
Aug 20181,033
Jul 20181,120
Jun 20181,025
May 2018833
Apr 2018800
Mar 2018800
Feb 2018750
Jan 2018833
Dec 20171,200
Nov 20171,100
May 20171,050
Apr 20171,350
Mar 20171,250
Feb 20171,267
Jan 20171,420
Dec 20161,575
Nov 20161,400
Oct 20161,430

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2446-829-retail-kg.