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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Masanganzira

Ngozi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,495–4,184

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,318–4,443

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 34% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,495 and 4,184 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,318 and 4,443 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Masanganzira: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 34% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,495 and 4,184 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,318 and 4,443 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,988); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,501–3,147 2,768 2,349–4,023 3,219 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,513–3,595 2,868 2,291–4,802 3,453 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,495–4,184 2,841 2,266–6,097 3,529 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,487–4,325 2,898 2,294–6,535 3,672 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,318–4,443 2,801 2,154–6,988 3,205 –
Price history (103 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,533
Jun 20262,633
May 20263,812
Apr 20263,925
Mar 20263,239
Feb 20262,811
Jan 20262,600
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,490
Oct 20252,613
Sept 20252,510
Aug 20252,533
Jul 20252,487
Jun 20252,416
May 20252,417
Apr 20252,650
Mar 20253,000
Feb 20253,044
Jan 20252,812
Dec 20243,552
Nov 20243,218
Oct 20243,114
Sept 20242,650
Aug 20242,448
Jul 20242,294
Jun 20242,067
May 20242,350
Mar 20242,689
Feb 20242,467
Jan 20242,217
Nov 20232,500
Oct 20232,794
Sept 20232,522
Aug 20232,335
Jul 20231,998
Jun 20231,939
May 20232,634
Apr 20233,478
Mar 20233,225
Feb 20233,030
Jan 20232,500
Dec 20222,100
Nov 20222,113
Oct 20221,679
Sept 20221,541
Aug 20221,275
May 20221,533
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,144
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,050
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,207
Mar 20211,312
Feb 20211,500
Jan 20211,233
Dec 20201,450
Nov 20201,533
Oct 20201,533
Sept 20201,425
Aug 20201,333
Jul 20201,111
Jun 20201,050
Mar 20201,267
Feb 20201,117
Jan 20201,025
Dec 20191,067
Nov 20191,067
Oct 20191,033
Aug 2019967
Jul 20191,040
Jun 2019817
May 20191,050
Mar 20191,067
Feb 20191,100
Jan 20191,000
Dec 20181,200
Nov 20181,050
Oct 20181,033
Sept 20181,000
Aug 2018917
Jul 2018883
Jun 2018867
May 2018980
Apr 2018775
Mar 2018767
Feb 2018800
Jan 2018886
Dec 20171,100
Nov 20171,050
Oct 20171,160
Sept 20171,100
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 20171,000
Apr 20171,317
Mar 20171,283
Feb 20171,325
Jan 20171,367
Dec 20161,467
Nov 20161,250
Oct 20161,080

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2447-829-retail-kg.