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Maize (white) in Mishiha

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 37% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,215–1,839

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,165–1,969

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

0%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,215 and 1,839 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,165 and 1,969 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Mishiha: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 37% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,215 and 1,839 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,165 and 1,969 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 0%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,121–1,562 1,333 1,015–1,945 1,954 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,170–1,726 1,389 1,075–1,750 2,320 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,215–1,839 1,408 1,087–2,067 2,522 0%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,203–1,953 1,428 1,004–2,033 2,400 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,165–1,969 1,418 959–2,001 2,454 –
Price history (99 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,225
Jul 20261,250
Jun 20261,221
May 20261,210
Apr 20261,100
Mar 20261,529
Feb 20261,630
Jan 20262,220
Dec 20251,920
Nov 20251,898
Oct 20251,668
Sept 20251,594
Aug 20251,833
Jul 20251,700
Jun 20251,492
May 20251,622
Apr 20251,331
Mar 20251,697
Feb 20251,850
Jan 20252,214
Dec 20242,396
Nov 20242,071
Oct 20241,894
Sept 20241,727
Aug 20241,597
Jul 20241,372
Jun 20241,229
May 20241,394
Apr 20241,300
Mar 20241,409
Feb 20241,359
Jan 20241,808
Dec 20231,500
Nov 20231,825
Oct 20231,954
Sept 20231,859
Aug 20231,772
Jul 20231,554
Jun 20231,565
May 20231,428
Apr 20231,444
Mar 20231,921
Feb 20231,744
Jan 20231,400
Dec 20221,233
Nov 20221,650
Oct 20221,469
Sept 20221,376
Aug 20221,306
Jul 20221,200
May 20221,012
Apr 2022833
Mar 2022772
Feb 2022733
Jan 20221,100
Sept 2021900
May 2021653
Apr 2021641
Mar 2021715
Feb 2021992
Jan 2021903
Dec 20201,029
Nov 2020922
Sept 2020783
Aug 2020822
Jul 2020737
Jun 2020663
Mar 2020550
Feb 2020867
Jan 20201,300
Dec 20191,140
Oct 2019967
Aug 2019792
Jul 2019825
Jun 2019570
May 2019580
Mar 2019650
Feb 2019708
Jan 2019900
Dec 2018820
Nov 2018710
Oct 2018475
Sept 2018683
Aug 2018510
Jul 2018500
Jun 2018475
May 2018500
Apr 2018471
Mar 2018433
Feb 2018583
Jan 2018900
Nov 20171,200
Oct 20171,200
Aug 20171,200
Feb 20171,100
Jan 2017850
Dec 20161,000
Nov 20161,033
Oct 2016875

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2448-67-retail-kg.