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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Mishiha

Cankuzo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 16% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,472–4,581

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,141–4,598

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,472 and 4,581 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,141 and 4,598 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Mishiha: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,472 and 4,581 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,141 and 4,598 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,854); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,482–3,588 2,975 2,251–4,533 3,505 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,482–4,174 3,114 2,233–5,275 3,979 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,472–4,581 3,102 2,294–5,961 4,237 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,496–4,780 3,114 2,318–6,174 4,329 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,141–4,598 2,794 1,861–6,854 3,316 –
Price history (100 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,800
Jul 20262,300
Jun 20262,125
May 20263,039
Apr 20263,892
Mar 20262,991
Feb 20262,575
Jan 20262,327
Dec 20252,860
Nov 20252,658
Oct 20252,784
Sept 20252,500
Aug 20252,750
Jul 20252,500
Jun 20252,684
May 20253,135
Apr 20253,121
Mar 20253,688
Feb 20253,083
Jan 20252,831
Dec 20243,958
Nov 20243,571
Oct 20243,100
Sept 20243,229
Aug 20242,844
Jul 20242,428
Jun 20242,402
May 20242,833
Apr 20242,988
Mar 20242,390
Feb 20242,293
Jan 20241,683
Dec 20232,433
Nov 20232,425
Oct 20232,624
Sept 20232,729
Aug 20232,582
Jul 20232,367
Jun 20232,190
May 20232,912
Apr 20233,531
Mar 20233,208
Feb 20232,846
Jan 20233,450
Dec 20222,567
Nov 20223,250
Oct 20222,469
Sept 20222,503
Aug 20221,628
Jul 20221,567
May 20221,393
Apr 20221,300
Mar 20221,217
Feb 20221,077
Jan 20221,117
Sept 20211,183
May 20211,267
Apr 20211,417
Mar 20211,466
Feb 20211,533
Jan 20211,196
Dec 20202,023
Nov 20201,912
Sept 20201,767
Aug 20201,696
Jul 20201,533
Jun 20201,426
Mar 20201,450
Feb 20201,167
Jan 20201,000
Dec 20191,460
Nov 20191,433
Oct 20191,350
Aug 20191,100
Jul 20191,283
Jun 2019950
May 2019880
Mar 20191,133
Feb 2019917
Jan 20191,192
Dec 20181,360
Nov 20181,080
Oct 20181,108
Sept 2018975
Aug 2018890
Jul 2018900
Jun 2018812
May 2018825
Apr 2018793
Mar 2018693
Feb 2018657
Jan 2018800
Nov 20171,400
Oct 20171,300
Aug 20171,200
Feb 20171,350
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,400
Nov 20161,300
Oct 20161,225

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2448-829-retail-kg.