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Maize (white) in Muhanga

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,272–2,165

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,170–2,344

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,272 and 2,165 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,170 and 2,344 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Muhanga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,272 and 2,165 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,170 and 2,344 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,977); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,232–1,592 1,398 1,110–1,924 1,862 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,189–1,728 1,419 1,039–2,900 1,860 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,272–2,165 1,479 1,073–5,264 2,083 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,279–2,270 1,534 1,086–5,212 2,188 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,170–2,344 1,448 952–5,977 1,875 –
Price history (102 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,350
Jun 20261,188
May 20261,258
Apr 2026950
Mar 20261,071
Feb 20261,408
Jan 20261,700
Dec 20251,650
Nov 20251,586
Oct 20251,696
Sept 20251,665
Aug 20251,533
Jul 20251,385
Jun 20251,338
May 20251,061
Apr 20251,008
Mar 20251,131
Feb 20251,406
Jan 20252,137
Dec 20242,265
Nov 20242,000
Oct 20241,767
Sept 20241,717
Aug 20241,574
Jul 20241,212
Jun 2024956
May 20241,029
Apr 20241,025
Mar 20241,153
Feb 20241,257
Jan 20241,583
Dec 20231,600
Nov 20231,821
Oct 20231,850
Sept 20231,785
Aug 20231,625
Jul 20231,598
Jun 20231,427
May 20231,440
Apr 20231,325
Mar 20231,617
Feb 20231,542
Dec 20221,630
Nov 20221,660
Oct 20221,656
Sept 20221,412
Aug 20221,275
Jul 20221,100
May 2022943
Apr 2022854
Mar 2022710
Feb 2022700
Jan 2022950
Oct 20211,000
May 2021693
Apr 2021686
Mar 2021690
Feb 2021750
Jan 2021875
Dec 2020933
Nov 2020925
Sept 2020788
Aug 2020778
Jul 2020763
Jun 2020700
Mar 2020630
Feb 2020575
Jan 2020833
Dec 20191,140
Oct 2019808
Aug 2019658
Jul 2019825
Jun 2019450
May 2019430
Mar 2019408
Feb 2019600
Jan 2019633
Nov 2018670
Oct 2018488
Sept 2018570
Aug 2018600
Jul 2018525
Jun 2018500
May 2018508
Apr 2018417
Mar 2018450
Feb 2018500
Jan 2018883
Dec 2017900
Nov 20171,000
Oct 20171,112
Sept 20171,164
Aug 20171,200
Jul 20171,200
Jun 20171,200
May 20171,067
Apr 2017800
Mar 2017800
Feb 2017800
Jan 20171,200
Dec 20161,200
Nov 20161,160

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2449-67-retail-kg.