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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Muhanga

Kayanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,426–4,037

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,218–3,926

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 23% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,426 and 4,037 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,218 and 3,926 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Muhanga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 23% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,426 and 4,037 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,218 and 3,926 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,600); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,462–3,131 2,707 2,231–3,884 3,028 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,442–3,372 2,766 2,176–4,449 2,957 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,426–4,037 2,719 2,082–6,600 3,187 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,355–4,081 2,700 2,064–6,534 3,132 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,218–3,926 2,675 1,885–4,464 2,914 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,600
Jun 20262,450
May 20263,392
Apr 20264,000
Mar 20263,352
Feb 20262,767
Jan 20262,350
Dec 20252,200
Nov 20252,423
Oct 20252,422
Sept 20252,588
Aug 20252,300
Jul 20252,436
Jun 20251,875
May 20252,291
Apr 20252,797
Mar 20253,292
Feb 20253,078
Jan 20253,049
Dec 20243,030
Nov 20242,950
Oct 20243,000
Sept 20242,653
Aug 20242,467
Jul 20242,038
Jun 20241,922
May 20242,175
Apr 20242,800
Mar 20242,965
Feb 20242,813
Jan 20242,100
Dec 20231,725
Nov 20232,325
Oct 20232,591
Sept 20232,572
Aug 20232,175
Jul 20232,016
Jun 20231,979
May 20233,050
Apr 20233,550
Mar 20233,517
Feb 20233,075
Dec 20221,927
Nov 20221,888
Oct 20221,539
Sept 20221,426
Aug 20221,275
Jul 20221,050
May 20221,384
Apr 20221,562
Mar 20221,100
Feb 20221,100
Jan 20221,050
Oct 20211,067
May 20211,167
Apr 20211,303
Mar 20211,500
Feb 20211,467
Jan 20211,225
Dec 20201,400
Nov 20201,467
Sept 20201,442
Aug 20201,343
Jul 20201,166
Jun 20201,000
Mar 20201,360
Feb 20201,325
Jan 20201,100
Dec 20191,160
Nov 20191,100
Oct 20191,017
Aug 2019950
Jul 20191,017
Jun 2019700
May 20191,040
Mar 20191,217
Feb 2019967
Jan 2019983
Dec 20181,217
Nov 20181,033
Oct 20181,083
Sept 20181,017
Aug 2018967
Jul 2018920
Jun 2018883
May 2018950
Apr 2018800
Mar 20181,000
Feb 20181,033
Jan 2018833
Dec 2017967
Nov 20171,020
Oct 20171,117
Sept 20171,025
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 20171,233
Apr 20171,500
Mar 20171,475
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,489
Dec 20161,329
Nov 20161,235
Oct 20161,000

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2449-829-retail-kg.