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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Muramvya

Muramvya, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 2% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,757–4,418

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,630–4,928

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 34% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,757 and 4,418 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,630 and 4,928 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Muramvya: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 2% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 34% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,757 and 4,418 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,630 and 4,928 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,848); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,787–3,553 3,007 2,575–4,317 3,280 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,782–4,038 3,125 2,456–5,390 3,503 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,757–4,418 3,080 2,459–5,688 3,607 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,749–4,642 3,094 2,471–7,639 3,722 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,630–4,928 3,073 2,288–7,848 3,466 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,900
Jul 20263,000
Jun 20262,680
May 20264,406
Apr 20263,500
Mar 20263,052
Feb 20262,612
Jan 20262,275
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,544
Oct 20252,800
Sept 20252,693
Aug 20252,571
Jul 20252,455
Jun 20252,449
May 20252,467
Apr 20253,210
Mar 20253,254
Feb 20253,286
Jan 20253,550
Dec 20243,853
Nov 20243,246
Oct 20243,268
Sept 20242,600
Aug 20242,627
Jul 20242,275
Jun 20242,025
May 20242,750
Apr 20243,150
Mar 20243,020
Feb 20242,715
Jan 20243,450
Dec 20232,700
Nov 20232,825
Oct 20232,863
Sept 20232,738
Aug 20232,708
Jul 20232,211
Jun 20231,764
May 20233,244
Apr 20233,562
Mar 20233,558
Feb 20232,937
Dec 20222,200
Nov 20222,050
Oct 20221,652
Sept 20221,431
Aug 20221,297
Jun 20221,700
May 20221,774
Apr 20221,550
Mar 20221,233
Feb 20221,300
Jan 20221,250
Oct 20211,450
May 20211,550
Apr 20211,521
Mar 20211,675
Feb 20211,700
Jan 20211,450
Dec 20201,600
Nov 20201,650
Sept 20201,432
Aug 20201,155
Jul 20201,182
Jun 20201,267
Mar 20201,371
Feb 20201,267
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,240
Nov 20191,150
Oct 20191,160
Aug 2019933
Jul 20191,133
Jun 2019833
May 20191,167
Mar 20191,167
Feb 20191,029
Jan 20191,233
Dec 20181,067
Nov 20181,117
Oct 20181,100
Sept 20181,114
Aug 20181,017
Jul 20181,033
Jun 2018980
May 20181,120
Apr 20181,000
Mar 2018800
Feb 2018933
Jan 2018900
Dec 20171,183
Nov 20171,200
Oct 20171,325
Sept 20171,267
Aug 20171,300
Jul 2017914
Jun 2017900
May 20171,333
Apr 20171,500
Mar 20171,200
Feb 20171,220
Jan 20171,400
Dec 20161,420
Nov 20161,262
Oct 20161,267

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2451-829-retail-kg.