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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Mutaho

Gitega, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 7% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,329–4,024

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,036–4,128

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

10%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,329 and 4,024 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,036 and 4,128 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Mutaho: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,329 and 4,024 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,036 and 4,128 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 10%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,468); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,354–3,077 2,584 2,123–4,183 2,905 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,293–3,476 2,676 2,107–5,132 2,964 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,329–4,024 2,672 2,091–5,562 3,168 10%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,326–4,319 2,689 2,158–8,468 3,325 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,036–4,128 2,535 1,974–7,065 2,758 –
Price history (104 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,467
Jun 20262,250
May 20263,567
Apr 20264,125
Mar 20262,825
Feb 20262,605
Jan 20262,182
Dec 20252,378
Nov 20252,152
Oct 20252,309
Sept 20252,273
Aug 20252,233
Jul 20252,313
Jun 20251,961
May 20252,042
Apr 20252,348
Mar 20252,907
Feb 20252,702
Jan 20252,828
Dec 20243,429
Nov 20243,050
Oct 20242,826
Sept 20242,700
Aug 20242,546
Jul 20242,050
Jun 20242,049
May 20241,896
Apr 20242,725
Mar 20242,550
Feb 20242,620
Jan 20242,242
Oct 20232,643
Sept 20232,397
Aug 20232,300
Jul 20232,206
Jun 20231,609
May 20232,322
Apr 20233,200
Mar 20233,432
Feb 20233,135
Dec 20221,975
Nov 20221,967
Oct 20221,652
Sept 20221,375
Aug 20221,227
Jul 20221,050
May 20221,350
Apr 20221,646
Mar 20221,052
Feb 2022971
Jan 2022975
Oct 20211,000
May 20211,200
Apr 20211,296
Mar 20211,371
Feb 20211,306
Jan 2021917
Dec 20201,344
Nov 20201,400
Oct 20201,427
Sept 20201,269
Aug 20201,190
Jul 20201,089
Jun 2020931
Mar 20201,275
Feb 20201,000
Jan 2020800
Dec 20191,010
Nov 20191,050
Oct 2019917
Aug 2019925
Jul 2019930
Jun 2019650
May 20191,017
Mar 20191,120
Feb 2019958
Jan 20191,050
Dec 20181,167
Nov 20181,030
Oct 2018980
Sept 2018900
Aug 2018827
Jul 2018808
Jun 2018758
May 20181,000
Apr 2018900
Mar 2018708
Feb 2018760
Jan 2018806
Dec 2017940
Nov 2017979
Oct 20171,080
Sept 20171,003
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,100
Mar 20171,288
Feb 20171,488
Jan 20171,383
Dec 20161,320
Nov 20161,125
Oct 2016988

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2452-829-retail-kg.