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Maize (white) in Muzinda

Bubanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 20% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,656–2,477

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,530–2,478

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,656 and 2,477 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,530 and 2,478 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Muzinda: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,656 and 2,477 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,530 and 2,478 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,597–2,079 1,800 1,419–2,232 2,330 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,588–2,206 1,849 1,343–2,362 2,468 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,656–2,477 1,915 1,384–3,733 2,738 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,666–2,569 1,987 1,410–3,369 2,776 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,530–2,478 1,857 1,280–3,067 2,459 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20261,800
Aug 20261,738
Jul 20261,800
Jun 20261,706
May 20261,750
Apr 20261,500
Mar 20261,466
Feb 20261,895
Jan 20262,218
Dec 20252,250
Nov 20252,275
Oct 20252,097
Sept 20251,891
Aug 20251,892
Jul 20251,754
Jun 20251,781
May 20251,621
Apr 20251,741
Mar 20252,000
Feb 20252,321
Jan 20252,771
Dec 20243,027
Nov 20242,689
Oct 20243,082
Jul 20241,650
Jun 20241,500
May 20241,600
Mar 20242,500
Feb 20242,100
Jan 20242,225
Dec 20232,325
Nov 20232,250
Oct 20232,459
Sept 20232,137
Aug 20232,072
Jul 20231,983
Jun 20232,233
May 20231,889
Apr 20231,950
Mar 20231,933
Feb 20231,983
Jan 20232,333
Dec 20222,050
Nov 20222,450
Oct 20222,046
Sept 20221,840
Aug 20221,651
Jul 20221,300
Jun 20221,500
May 20221,347
Apr 20221,300
Mar 20221,068
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,062
Oct 20211,200
Sept 20211,100
May 2021800
Apr 2021809
Mar 2021677
Feb 2021856
Jan 2021897
Dec 20201,158
Nov 20201,140
Oct 2020900
Sept 20201,168
Aug 20201,226
Jul 20201,698
Jun 2020912
Mar 2020940
Feb 2020933
Jan 20201,033
Dec 20191,183
Oct 2019920
Aug 2019800
Jul 20191,000
Jun 2019550
May 2019550
Mar 2019567
Feb 2019833
Jan 20191,000
Dec 2018900
Nov 2018867
Oct 2018750
Sept 2018900
Aug 2018775
Jul 2018925
Jun 2018710
May 2018760
Apr 2018760
Mar 2018740
Feb 2018700
Jan 2018783
Nov 20171,200
Oct 20171,450
Sept 20171,300
Aug 20171,450
Jul 20171,200
Jun 20171,250
May 20171,200
Apr 20171,250
Mar 20171,500
Feb 20171,550
Jan 20171,550
Dec 20161,625
Nov 20161,200
Oct 20161,125

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2453-67-retail-kg.