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Maize flour in Muzinda

Bubanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 10% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,139–2,919

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,053–3,066

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,139 and 2,919 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,053 and 3,066 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Muzinda: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 10% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 2% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,139 and 2,919 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,053 and 3,066 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,381); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,085–2,542 2,267 1,972–2,865 2,719 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,080–2,650 2,304 1,899–2,818 2,812 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,139–2,919 2,333 1,889–3,907 3,081 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,149–3,063 2,425 1,900–4,381 3,204 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,053–3,066 2,343 1,722–3,859 3,013 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20262,500
Aug 20262,338
Jul 20262,000
Jun 20262,361
May 20262,300
Apr 20262,167
Mar 20262,029
Feb 20262,271
Jan 20262,518
Dec 20252,600
Nov 20252,660
Oct 20252,487
Sept 20252,304
Aug 20252,208
Jul 20252,108
Jun 20252,259
May 20252,000
Apr 20252,107
Mar 20252,662
Feb 20253,139
Jan 20253,204
Dec 20243,311
Nov 20243,136
Oct 20242,555
Jul 20242,000
Jun 20241,700
May 20241,900
Mar 20242,600
Feb 20242,300
Jan 20242,475
Dec 20232,600
Nov 20232,450
Oct 20232,673
Sept 20232,345
Aug 20232,278
Jul 20232,250
Jun 20232,433
May 20232,189
Apr 20232,300
Mar 20232,333
Feb 20232,500
Jan 20232,567
Dec 20222,400
Nov 20222,675
Oct 20222,238
Sept 20221,858
Aug 20221,841
Jul 20221,500
Jun 20221,600
May 20221,571
Apr 20221,533
Mar 20221,299
Feb 20221,457
Jan 20221,438
Oct 20211,400
Sept 20211,350
May 20211,000
Apr 20211,063
Mar 2021894
Feb 20211,061
Jan 20211,282
Dec 20201,377
Nov 20201,323
Oct 20201,200
Sept 20201,365
Aug 20201,426
Jul 20201,154
Jun 20201,091
Mar 20201,120
Feb 20201,150
Jan 20201,267
Dec 20191,350
Oct 20191,120
Aug 20191,000
Jul 20191,075
Jun 2019900
May 2019820
Mar 2019833
Feb 20191,033
Jan 20191,050
Dec 20181,000
Nov 2018967
Oct 2018925
Sept 20181,000
Aug 2018975
Jul 2018950
Jun 2018900
May 20181,020
Apr 2018980
Mar 2018940
Feb 20181,000
Jan 20181,075
Nov 20171,200
Oct 20171,400
Sept 20171,450
Aug 20171,400
Jul 20171,400
Jun 20171,400
May 20171,400
Apr 20171,400
Mar 20171,450
Feb 20171,600
Jan 20171,575
Dec 20161,625
Nov 20161,150
Oct 20161,150

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2453-76-retail-kg.