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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Muzinda

Bubanza, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,933–4,521

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,675–4,582

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 29% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,933 and 4,521 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,675 and 4,582 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Muzinda: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 29% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,933 and 4,521 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,675 and 4,582 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,541); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,937–3,633 3,166 2,604–4,323 3,287 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,891–4,111 3,263 2,469–5,026 3,574 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,933–4,521 3,224 2,476–6,398 3,876 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,931–4,760 3,306 2,492–6,541 4,084 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,675–4,582 3,164 2,305–5,461 3,460 –
Price history (107 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Sept 20263,000
Aug 20263,041
Jul 20263,000
Jun 20262,883
May 20264,283
Apr 20264,250
Mar 20263,213
Feb 20263,046
Jan 20262,749
Dec 20252,767
Nov 20252,769
Oct 20252,816
Sept 20252,800
Aug 20252,833
Jul 20253,108
Jun 20252,822
May 20252,808
Apr 20253,263
Mar 20253,297
Feb 20253,125
Jan 20253,000
Dec 20243,883
Nov 20243,466
Oct 20243,482
Jul 20242,500
Jun 20242,700
May 20242,850
Mar 20243,500
Feb 20242,700
Jan 20242,525
Dec 20233,050
Nov 20233,000
Oct 20232,880
Sept 20232,788
Aug 20232,494
Jul 20232,417
Jun 20232,933
May 20233,139
Apr 20233,675
Mar 20233,317
Feb 20232,867
Jan 20232,533
Dec 20222,200
Nov 20222,350
Oct 20221,884
Sept 20221,546
Aug 20221,521
Jul 20221,400
Jun 20222,200
May 20222,069
Apr 20221,800
Mar 20221,274
Feb 20221,164
Jan 20221,188
Oct 20211,350
Sept 20211,300
May 20211,600
Apr 20211,552
Mar 20211,589
Feb 20211,517
Jan 20211,232
Dec 20201,648
Nov 20201,590
Oct 20201,600
Sept 20201,511
Aug 20201,426
Jul 20201,212
Jun 20201,069
Mar 20201,340
Feb 20201,183
Jan 20201,067
Dec 20191,217
Nov 20191,270
Oct 20191,140
Aug 20191,050
Jul 20191,125
Jun 2019950
May 20191,220
Mar 20191,167
Feb 20191,200
Jan 20191,050
Dec 20181,300
Nov 20181,100
Oct 20181,125
Sept 20181,100
Aug 20181,025
Jul 20181,000
Jun 20181,000
May 20181,140
Apr 2018980
Mar 20181,000
Feb 20181,000
Jan 20181,000
Nov 20171,200
Oct 20171,200
Sept 20171,200
Aug 20171,100
Jul 20171,150
Jun 20171,000
May 20171,000
Apr 20171,300
Mar 20171,400
Feb 20171,550
Jan 20171,625
Dec 20161,575
Nov 20161,233
Oct 20161,100

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: September 2026. Series id: burundi-2453-829-retail-kg.