Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Beans (haricot, yellow) in Mwakiro

Muyinga, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 12% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,299–4,036

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,219–4,684

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 36% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,299 and 4,036 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,219 and 4,684 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Mwakiro: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 12% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 36% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,299 and 4,036 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,219 and 4,684 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 8,874); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,314–3,295 2,713 2,097–4,233 3,249 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,307–3,803 2,801 2,077–4,705 3,412 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,299–4,036 2,793 2,090–4,748 3,638 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,351–4,214 2,833 2,140–5,449 3,905 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,219–4,684 2,739 1,965–8,874 3,267 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,500
Jul 20262,000
Jun 20262,426
May 20263,930
Apr 20265,500
Mar 20263,233
Feb 20262,842
Jan 20262,625
Dec 20252,375
Nov 20252,417
Oct 20252,647
Sept 20252,530
Aug 20252,376
Jul 20252,374
Jun 20252,216
May 20252,313
Apr 20252,880
Mar 20253,040
Feb 20252,994
Jan 20253,288
Dec 20243,402
Nov 20243,045
Oct 20242,840
Sept 20242,900
Aug 20242,650
Jul 20242,350
Jun 20242,331
May 20242,442
Apr 20242,800
Mar 20242,950
Feb 20242,609
Jan 20242,765
Nov 20232,500
Oct 20232,650
Sept 20232,580
Aug 20232,450
Jul 20232,250
Jun 20231,700
May 20232,800
Apr 20233,307
Mar 20233,488
Feb 20232,967
Jan 20232,000
Dec 20222,264
Nov 20222,131
Oct 20221,725
Sept 20221,486
Aug 20221,292
May 20221,590
Apr 20221,638
Mar 20221,258
Feb 20221,012
Jan 2022900
Oct 20211,100
Apr 20211,338
Mar 20211,483
Feb 20211,450
Jan 20211,225
Dec 20201,700
Nov 20201,600
Oct 20201,568
Sept 20201,382
Aug 20201,391
Jul 20201,029
Jun 2020921
Mar 20201,340
Feb 2020975
Jan 2020833
Dec 20191,160
Nov 20191,017
Oct 20191,100
Aug 2019830
Jul 20191,010
Jun 2019675
May 20191,025
Mar 20191,075
Feb 2019962
Jan 2019900
Dec 20181,200
Nov 20181,020
Oct 20181,075
Sept 2018888
Aug 2018788
Jul 2018800
Jun 2018838
May 20181,000
Apr 2018750
Mar 2018620
Feb 2018695
Jan 2018857
Dec 2017967
Nov 20171,120
Oct 20171,150
Sept 2017992
Aug 2017920
Jul 2017840
Jun 2017783
May 2017820
Apr 20171,320
Mar 20171,233
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,580
Dec 20161,567
Nov 20161,209
Oct 20161,025

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2454-829-retail-kg.