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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Mwaro

Mwaro, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 7% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,597–4,357

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,488–4,905

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

9%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 48% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,597 and 4,357 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,488 and 4,905 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Mwaro: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 7% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 48% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,597 and 4,357 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,488 and 4,905 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 9%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 11,000); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,582–3,274 2,793 2,400–4,170 3,154 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,539–3,702 2,839 2,341–4,936 3,105 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,597–4,357 2,907 2,325–7,537 3,544 9%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,554–4,681 2,959 2,335–11,000 3,588 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,488–4,905 2,911 2,324–9,735 3,412 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,617
Jun 20262,856
May 20265,056
Apr 20264,167
Mar 20263,340
Feb 20263,054
Jan 20262,665
Dec 20252,562
Nov 20252,413
Oct 20252,559
Sept 20252,675
Aug 20252,500
Jul 20252,418
Jun 20252,333
May 20252,500
Apr 20253,328
Mar 20253,303
Feb 20253,301
Jan 20253,412
Dec 20243,500
Nov 20243,165
Oct 20242,778
Sept 20242,961
Aug 20242,640
Jul 20242,544
Jun 20242,362
May 20242,866
Apr 20243,233
Mar 20242,875
Feb 20242,582
Jan 20242,565
Dec 20232,500
Nov 20232,671
Oct 20232,695
Sept 20232,587
Aug 20232,200
Jul 20232,167
Jun 20232,094
May 20233,133
Apr 20233,450
Mar 20233,233
Feb 20233,000
Dec 20221,968
Nov 20221,979
Oct 20221,558
Sept 20221,502
Aug 20221,409
May 20221,601
Apr 20221,473
Mar 20221,117
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,250
Oct 20211,133
Jul 20211,100
May 20211,200
Apr 20211,421
Mar 20211,442
Feb 20211,350
Jan 20211,378
Dec 20201,548
Nov 20201,631
Oct 20201,400
Sept 20201,241
Aug 20201,229
Jul 20201,139
Jun 20201,100
Mar 20201,325
Feb 20201,175
Jan 20201,075
Dec 20191,120
Nov 20191,080
Oct 20191,017
Aug 2019900
Jul 20191,067
Jun 2019867
May 20191,320
Mar 20191,183
Feb 20191,000
Jan 20191,220
Dec 20181,200
Nov 20181,167
Oct 20181,000
Sept 2018990
Aug 2018967
Jul 2018917
Jun 2018957
May 20181,100
Apr 2018960
Mar 2018980
Feb 2018900
Jan 20181,120
Dec 20171,150
Nov 20171,267
Oct 20171,200
Sept 20171,133
Aug 20171,100
Jul 20171,050
Jun 20171,125
May 20171,317
Apr 20171,460
Mar 20171,500
Feb 20171,500
Jan 20171,417
Dec 20161,417
Nov 20161,275
Oct 20161,143

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2455-829-retail-kg.