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Maize (white) in Nyabihanga

Mwaro, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 17% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,316–1,973

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,263–2,013

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,316 and 1,973 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,263 and 2,013 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Nyabihanga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 17% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 6% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,316 and 1,973 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,263 and 2,013 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 3,574); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,285–1,659 1,476 1,230–2,088 2,043 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,290–1,831 1,532 1,184–2,320 2,103 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,316–1,973 1,581 1,182–2,827 2,521 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,312–2,078 1,594 1,168–3,574 2,693 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,263–2,013 1,571 1,148–2,611 2,480 –
Price history (92 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,346
Jun 20261,300
May 20261,267
Mar 20261,483
Feb 20261,561
Jan 20261,773
Dec 20251,679
Nov 20251,678
Oct 20251,607
Sept 20251,512
Aug 20251,383
Jul 20251,428
Jun 20251,422
May 20251,213
Apr 20251,473
Mar 20251,280
Feb 20251,922
Jan 20252,248
Dec 20242,503
Nov 20241,974
Oct 20241,875
Sept 20241,800
Aug 20241,679
Jul 20241,496
Jun 20241,311
May 20241,265
Apr 20241,500
Mar 20241,700
Jan 20241,875
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20231,900
Oct 20232,262
Sept 20232,215
Aug 20231,754
Jul 20231,732
Jun 20231,627
May 20231,529
Apr 20231,669
Mar 20231,671
Feb 20231,631
Dec 20222,000
Nov 20221,975
Oct 20221,500
Sept 20221,325
Aug 20221,217
May 2022997
Apr 2022783
Mar 2022700
Feb 20221,252
Jan 20221,200
Oct 2021700
Apr 2021688
Mar 2021817
Feb 2021850
Jan 2021942
Dec 2020988
Nov 20201,035
Oct 2020900
Sept 2020760
Aug 2020491
Jul 2020568
Jun 2020582
Mar 2020500
Feb 2020508
Jan 20201,017
Dec 20191,143
Oct 2019750
Aug 2019575
Jul 2019770
Jun 2019450
May 2019488
Mar 2019488
Feb 2019600
Jan 2019800
Dec 2018740
Nov 2018683
Oct 2018640
Sept 2018630
Aug 2018550
Jul 2018567
Jun 2018633
May 2018680
Apr 2018567
Mar 2018675
Feb 2018575
Apr 2017800
Mar 2017700
Feb 20171,050
Jan 20171,200
Dec 20161,283
Nov 20161,133
Oct 2016920

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2457-67-retail-kg.