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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Nyabihanga

Mwaro, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 1% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,613–4,178

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,516–4,635

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 41% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,613 and 4,178 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,516 and 4,635 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Nyabihanga: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 41% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,613 and 4,178 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,516 and 4,635 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,614); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,561–3,181 2,790 2,286–4,154 3,144 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,583–3,613 2,874 2,115–5,198 3,288 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,613–4,178 2,953 2,147–5,905 3,608 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,575–4,346 2,982 2,135–7,614 3,907 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,516–4,635 2,975 2,084–7,398 3,616 –
Price history (94 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,650
Jun 20262,950
May 20264,500
Mar 20262,783
Feb 20262,598
Jan 20262,482
Dec 20252,462
Nov 20252,338
Oct 20252,571
Sept 20252,429
Aug 20252,233
Jul 20252,264
Jun 20252,181
May 20252,319
Apr 20252,898
Mar 20253,025
Feb 20253,100
Jan 20253,103
Dec 20243,481
Nov 20243,253
Oct 20243,200
Sept 20242,900
Aug 20242,647
Jul 20242,354
Jun 20242,433
May 20242,644
Apr 20242,825
Mar 20243,000
Feb 20243,200
Jan 20242,750
Dec 20233,000
Nov 20232,600
Oct 20232,675
Sept 20232,500
Aug 20232,362
Jul 20232,009
Jun 20231,636
May 20233,012
Apr 20233,438
Mar 20233,185
Feb 20233,044
Dec 20222,100
Nov 20222,050
Oct 20221,600
Sept 20221,425
Aug 20221,217
May 20221,614
Apr 20221,467
Mar 20221,425
Feb 20221,370
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,200
Apr 20211,450
Mar 20211,433
Feb 20211,325
Jan 20211,433
Dec 20201,743
Nov 20201,681
Oct 20201,561
Sept 20201,435
Aug 20201,246
Jul 20201,089
Jun 20201,023
Mar 20201,283
Feb 20201,200
Jan 20201,167
Dec 20191,157
Nov 20191,040
Oct 2019970
Aug 2019750
Jul 2019940
Jun 2019683
May 20191,150
Mar 20191,225
Feb 2019950
Jan 20191,275
Dec 20181,260
Nov 20181,200
Oct 20181,100
Sept 2018960
Aug 2018860
Jul 2018850
Jun 2018825
May 20181,180
Apr 20181,067
Mar 2018850
Feb 2018725
Apr 20171,400
Mar 20171,400
Feb 20171,400
Jan 20171,467
Dec 20161,340
Nov 20161,144
Oct 20161,080

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2457-829-retail-kg.