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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Nyabikere

Karuzi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 6% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,488–4,173

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,226–4,421

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

7%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 6% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,488 and 4,173 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,226 and 4,421 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Nyabikere: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 6% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 31% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,488 and 4,173 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,226 and 4,421 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 7%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,677); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,460–3,221 2,712 2,170–3,825 3,068 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,458–3,739 2,794 2,113–4,840 3,210 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,488–4,173 2,852 2,188–5,808 3,559 7%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,478–4,413 2,890 2,150–7,677 3,703 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,226–4,421 2,708 2,002–6,839 3,020 –
Price history (106 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,533
Jun 20262,450
May 20263,675
Apr 20264,167
Mar 20262,995
Feb 20262,667
Jan 20262,330
Dec 20252,445
Nov 20252,625
Oct 20252,687
Sept 20252,543
Aug 20252,518
Jul 20252,398
Jun 20252,244
May 20252,046
Apr 20253,000
Mar 20253,385
Feb 20253,026
Jan 20253,524
Dec 20243,406
Nov 20243,183
Oct 20242,944
Sept 20242,750
Aug 20242,544
Jul 20242,058
Jun 20242,033
May 20242,533
Apr 20243,100
Mar 20242,560
Feb 20242,778
Jan 20242,350
Dec 20232,500
Nov 20232,750
Oct 20232,622
Sept 20232,525
Aug 20232,400
Jul 20231,956
Jun 20231,755
May 20233,332
Apr 20233,350
Mar 20233,418
Feb 20232,883
Dec 20222,250
Nov 20221,917
Oct 20221,550
Sept 20221,327
Aug 20221,156
Jun 20221,050
May 20221,350
Apr 20221,600
Mar 20221,039
Feb 20221,000
Jan 2022900
Oct 20211,050
May 20211,300
Apr 20211,329
Mar 20211,373
Feb 20211,250
Jan 20211,100
Dec 20201,600
Nov 20201,533
Oct 20201,300
Sept 20201,245
Aug 20201,242
Jul 20201,050
Jun 2020883
Mar 20201,340
Feb 20201,160
Jan 2020867
Dec 20191,114
Nov 20191,050
Oct 20191,000
Aug 2019792
Jul 20191,000
Jun 2019700
May 20191,050
Mar 20191,060
Feb 2019967
Jan 20191,050
Dec 20181,280
Nov 20181,133
Oct 20181,167
Sept 2018967
Aug 2018850
Jul 2018850
Jun 2018867
May 2018967
Apr 2018858
Mar 2018825
Feb 2018850
Jan 2018700
Dec 2017925
Nov 20171,033
Oct 20171,160
Sept 2017975
Aug 2017800
Jul 2017900
Jun 2017900
May 20171,067
Apr 20171,400
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,562
Jan 20171,558
Dec 20161,380
Nov 20161,150
Oct 20161,025

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2458-829-retail-kg.