Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Maize (white) in Nyagasasa

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 20% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,581–2,242

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,515–2,399

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,581 and 2,242 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,515 and 2,399 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Nyagasasa: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 20% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 7% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,581 and 2,242 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,515 and 2,399 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,550–1,842 1,672 1,471–2,108 2,162 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,526–1,979 1,706 1,410–2,328 2,207 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,581–2,242 1,759 1,407–3,398 2,414 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,571–2,364 1,797 1,430–3,566 2,474 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,515–2,399 1,792 1,374–3,399 2,394 –
Price history (107 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,617
Jul 20261,600
Jun 20261,626
May 20261,510
Apr 20261,528
Mar 20261,803
Feb 20261,917
Jan 20261,949
Dec 20251,846
Nov 20251,898
Oct 20251,898
Sept 20251,722
Aug 20252,033
Jul 20251,650
Jun 20251,578
May 20251,524
Apr 20251,652
Mar 20251,708
Feb 20252,324
Jan 20252,540
Dec 20243,040
Nov 20242,594
Oct 20242,158
Sept 20242,062
Aug 20241,982
Jul 20241,642
Jun 20241,558
May 20241,461
Apr 20241,633
Mar 20241,683
Feb 20241,708
Jan 20241,820
Dec 20231,783
Nov 20231,900
Oct 20231,892
Sept 20231,963
Aug 20231,895
Jul 20231,812
Jun 20231,717
May 20231,700
Apr 20231,817
Mar 20232,026
Feb 20232,054
Jan 20232,000
Dec 20222,000
Nov 20222,041
Oct 20221,911
Sept 20221,600
Aug 20221,525
Jul 20221,200
May 20221,100
Apr 2022900
Mar 20221,162
Feb 20221,250
Jan 20221,225
Oct 2021867
Sept 2021925
May 2021950
Apr 2021839
Mar 2021942
Feb 2021950
Jan 2021975
Dec 20201,004
Nov 2020981
Sept 2020950
Aug 2020848
Jul 2020816
Jun 2020793
Mar 2020733
Feb 2020992
Jan 20201,383
Dec 20191,300
Oct 2019983
Aug 2019900
Jul 2019900
Jun 2019617
May 2019600
Mar 2019690
Feb 2019800
Jan 2019810
Dec 2018792
Nov 2018736
Oct 2018630
Sept 20181,600Data error
Aug 2018600
Jul 2018625
Jun 2018600
May 20181,825Data error
Apr 2018640
Mar 2018760
Feb 2018830
Jan 2018817
Dec 2017850
Nov 20171,000
Oct 20171,125
Sept 20171,100
Aug 20171,125
Jul 20171,160
Jun 20171,175
May 20171,125
Apr 20171,138
Mar 20171,200
Feb 20171,317
Jan 20171,233
Dec 20161,286
Nov 20161,104
Oct 20161,000

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2459-67-retail-kg.