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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Nyagasasa

Bururi, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 3% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

3,158–4,790

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

3,048–5,541

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,158 and 4,790 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,048 and 5,541 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Nyagasasa: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 3% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 33% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 3,158 and 4,790 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 3,048 and 5,541 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 11,020); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 3,137–3,793 3,313 2,888–4,335 3,485 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 3,153–4,251 3,449 2,757–5,342 3,772 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 3,158–4,790 3,476 2,661–6,145 4,150 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 3,138–5,190 3,557 2,753–8,985 4,371 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 3,048–5,541 3,524 2,582–11,020 4,119 –
Price history (108 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20263,167
Jul 20263,667
Jun 20263,667
May 20264,725
Apr 20264,181
Mar 20263,200
Feb 20263,143
Jan 20263,000
Dec 20253,000
Nov 20253,073
Oct 20253,000
Sept 20253,000
Aug 20253,000
Jul 20252,750
Jun 20252,878
May 20253,603
Apr 20253,859
Mar 20253,735
Feb 20253,738
Jan 20253,865
Dec 20244,144
Nov 20243,771
Oct 20243,394
Sept 20243,046
Aug 20242,759
Jul 20242,708
Jun 20242,731
May 20242,969
Apr 20243,333
Mar 20243,283
Feb 20243,500
Jan 20243,000
Dec 20233,167
Nov 20233,000
Oct 20233,004
Sept 20232,995
Aug 20232,889
Jul 20232,469
Jun 20232,600
May 20232,983
Apr 20233,617
Mar 20232,986
Feb 20232,748
Jan 20232,767
Dec 20222,324
Nov 20222,106
Oct 20221,819
Sept 20221,571
Aug 20221,500
Jul 20221,500
May 20222,000
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,375
Feb 20221,400
Jan 20221,350
Oct 20211,233
Sept 20211,275
May 20211,550
Apr 20211,525
Mar 20211,583
Feb 20211,633
Jan 20211,733
Dec 20201,748
Nov 20201,754
Sept 20201,417
Aug 20201,278
Jul 20201,223
Jun 20201,200
Mar 20201,267
Feb 20201,250
Jan 20201,117
Dec 20191,233
Nov 20191,150
Oct 20191,175
Aug 20191,017
Jul 20191,300
Jun 2019967
May 20191,250
Mar 20191,090
Feb 20191,000
Jan 20191,200
Dec 20181,267
Nov 20181,193
Oct 20181,180
Sept 20181,117
Aug 2018967
Jul 2018962
Jun 2018920
May 20181,060
Apr 2018890
Mar 2018960
Feb 20181,000
Jan 20181,133
Dec 20171,200
Nov 20171,400
Oct 20171,350
Sept 20171,167
Aug 20171,075
Jul 20171,100
Jun 20171,150
May 20171,250
Apr 20171,500
Mar 20171,833
Feb 20171,800
Jan 20171,733
Dec 20161,657
Nov 20161,262
Oct 20161,183

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2459-829-retail-kg.