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Maize (white) in Rubaho

Rutana, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 22% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,383–2,183

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,366–2,514

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

4%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 18% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,383 and 2,183 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,366 and 2,514 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Rubaho: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 22% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 18% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,383 and 2,183 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,366 and 2,514 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 4%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,320); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,309–1,835 1,518 1,230–2,226 2,083 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,307–1,966 1,555 1,170–2,526 2,093 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,383–2,183 1,589 1,254–3,157 2,350 4%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,408–2,162 1,659 1,155–2,384 2,509 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,366–2,514 1,655 1,098–4,320 2,505 –
Price history (84 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,450
Jun 20261,200
May 20261,227
Apr 20261,250
Mar 20261,138
Feb 20261,770
Jan 20261,873
Dec 20251,781
Nov 20251,611
Oct 20251,624
Sept 20251,612
Aug 20251,500
Jul 20251,541
Jun 20251,433
May 20251,385
Apr 20251,290
Mar 20251,132
Feb 20251,762
Jan 20252,088
Dec 20242,067
Nov 20242,009
Oct 20241,782
Sept 20241,694
Aug 20241,562
Jul 20241,350
Jun 20241,338
May 20241,075
Apr 20241,600
Mar 20241,324
Feb 20241,295
Jan 20241,606
Nov 20231,600
Oct 20231,694
Sept 20231,731
Aug 20231,746
Jul 20231,613
Jun 20231,250
May 20231,209
Apr 20231,281
Mar 20231,658
Feb 20231,776
Jan 20231,600
Dec 20221,695
Nov 20221,826
Oct 20221,300
Sept 20221,309
Aug 20221,150
Jun 20221,000
May 2022844
Apr 2022800
Mar 2022646
Feb 2022700
Jan 20221,100
Oct 2021800
Apr 2021615
Mar 2021624
Feb 2021900
Jan 2021900
Dec 2020948
Nov 2020922
Oct 2020800
Sept 2020821
Jul 2020713
Jun 2020700
Mar 2020550
Feb 2020900
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,060
Oct 2019940
Aug 2019683
Jul 2019890
Jun 2019567
May 2019500
Mar 2019550
Feb 2019700
Jan 2019880
Dec 2018817
Nov 2018692
Oct 2018650
Sept 2018575
Aug 2018530
Jul 2018500
Jun 2018525
May 2018560

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2460-67-retail-kg.