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Maize flour in Rubaho

Rutana, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,695–2,569

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,739–2,799

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

6%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 37% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,695 and 2,569 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,739 and 2,799 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Rubaho: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 37% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,695 and 2,569 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,739 and 2,799 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 6%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,012); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,696–2,229 1,975 1,563–2,642 2,310 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,654–2,367 2,013 1,544–2,870 2,308 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,695–2,569 2,020 1,493–3,657 2,477 6%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,794–2,569 2,120 1,597–3,043 2,763 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,739–2,799 2,113 1,470–4,012 2,707 –
Price history (84 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,000
Jun 20261,450
May 20261,459
Apr 20261,481
Mar 20261,420
Feb 20262,120
Jan 20262,145
Dec 20252,123
Nov 20251,872
Oct 20252,015
Sept 20252,044
Aug 20251,860
Jul 20252,103
Jun 20251,872
May 20251,712
Apr 20251,518
Mar 20251,444
Feb 20252,088
Jan 20252,461
Dec 20242,460
Nov 20241,835
Oct 20242,025
Sept 20241,958
Aug 20241,809
Jul 20241,650
Jun 20241,562
May 20241,417
Apr 20241,850
Mar 20241,635
Feb 20241,593
Jan 20241,881
Nov 20231,800
Oct 20232,006
Sept 20231,915
Aug 20231,919
Jul 20231,767
Jun 20231,550
May 20231,410
Apr 20231,481
Mar 20231,967
Feb 20231,969
Jan 20231,800
Dec 20221,911
Nov 20222,088
Oct 20221,500
Sept 20221,459
Aug 20221,300
Jun 20221,150
May 2022994
Apr 2022950
Mar 2022773
Feb 2022800
Jan 20221,200
Oct 2021900
Apr 2021736
Mar 2021841
Feb 20211,083
Jan 20211,100
Dec 20201,195
Nov 20201,067
Oct 20201,000
Sept 20201,000
Jul 2020854
Jun 2020822
Mar 2020825
Feb 20201,233
Jan 20201,467
Dec 20191,280
Oct 20191,100
Aug 20191,000
Jul 20191,020
Jun 2019800
May 2019800
Mar 2019880
Feb 2019850
Jan 20191,080
Dec 2018992
Nov 2018925
Oct 2018860
Sept 2018750
Aug 2018820
Jul 2018800
Jun 2018800
May 2018840

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2460-76-retail-kg.