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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Rubaho

Rutana, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 16% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,679–4,512

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,534–4,818

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 7% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,679 and 4,512 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,534 and 4,818 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Rubaho: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 16% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 7% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,679 and 4,512 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,534 and 4,818 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,830); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,619–3,498 2,966 2,335–4,459 3,867 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,627–3,936 3,079 2,337–4,645 3,903 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,679–4,512 3,170 2,349–5,461 4,639 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,642–4,897 3,173 2,364–7,830 4,688 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,534–4,818 3,091 2,246–6,378 4,102 –
Price history (85 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,750
Jun 20262,800
May 20262,948
Apr 20263,750
Mar 20263,072
Feb 20262,642
Jan 20263,200
Dec 20253,207
Nov 20253,089
Oct 20253,019
Sept 20252,694
Aug 20252,740
Jul 20252,488
Jun 20252,372
May 20252,231
Apr 20252,790
Mar 20253,329
Feb 20253,110
Jan 20253,392
Dec 20243,843
Nov 20244,135
Oct 20243,376
Sept 20243,212
Aug 20242,829
Jul 20242,550
Jun 20242,238
May 20242,306
Apr 20242,500
Mar 20242,706
Feb 20242,468
Jan 20242,700
Nov 20233,033
Oct 20232,594
Sept 20232,415
Aug 20232,469
Jul 20232,060
Jun 20232,350
May 20232,885
Apr 20232,806
Mar 20232,781
Feb 20232,262
Jan 20232,500
Dec 20222,405
Nov 20222,397
Oct 20221,722
Sept 20221,662
Aug 20221,320
Jun 20221,000
May 20221,467
Apr 20221,300
Mar 2022908
Feb 2022800
Jan 20221,000
Oct 20211,150
Apr 20211,436
Mar 20211,500
Feb 20211,400
Jan 20211,400
Dec 20201,630
Nov 20201,607
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,418
Jul 2020988
Jun 2020827
Mar 20201,400
Feb 20201,000
Jan 20201,067
Dec 20191,120
Nov 20191,075
Oct 20191,080
Aug 2019800
Jul 20191,000
Jun 2019700
May 2019917
Mar 20191,060
Feb 20191,086
Jan 20191,120
Dec 20181,267
Nov 20181,083
Oct 2018970
Sept 2018900
Aug 2018820
Jul 2018788
Jun 2018767
May 2018960

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2460-829-retail-kg.