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Maize (white) in Ruhehe

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 15% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,402–2,235

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,321–2,489

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

3%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,402 and 2,235 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,321 and 2,489 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Ruhehe: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 15% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 5% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,402 and 2,235 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,321 and 2,489 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 3%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 5,946); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,339–1,764 1,514 1,226–2,136 1,900 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,371–1,944 1,601 1,224–2,831 2,119 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,402–2,235 1,665 1,232–3,472 2,295 3%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,422–2,294 1,721 1,229–3,850 2,381 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,321–2,489 1,591 1,112–5,946 2,056 –
Price history (103 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,500
Jun 20261,317
May 20261,422
Apr 20261,400
Mar 20261,256
Feb 20261,418
Jan 20261,773
Dec 20251,865
Nov 20251,815
Oct 20251,744
Sept 20251,706
Aug 20251,630
Jul 20251,606
Jun 20251,596
May 20251,413
Apr 20251,433
Mar 20251,321
Feb 20251,070
Jan 20251,930
Dec 20242,100
Nov 20241,967
Oct 20241,900
Sept 20241,698
Aug 20241,672
Jul 20241,283
Jun 20241,117
May 20241,147
Apr 20241,267
Mar 20241,334
Feb 20241,576
Jan 20241,833
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20231,867
Oct 20232,212
Sept 20231,941
Aug 20231,708
Jul 20231,600
Jun 20231,705
May 20231,604
Apr 20231,639
Mar 20231,718
Feb 20231,592
Dec 20221,961
Nov 20222,000
Oct 20221,525
Sept 20221,400
Aug 20221,328
May 2022919
Apr 2022800
Mar 2022700
Feb 2022600
Jan 2022800
May 2021663
Apr 2021708
Mar 2021600
Feb 2021715
Jan 2021846
Dec 2020952
Nov 2020875
Oct 2020800
Sept 2020765
Aug 2020709
Jul 2020685
Jun 2020525
Mar 2020533
Feb 2020488
Jan 20201,000
Dec 20191,125
Oct 2019775
Aug 2019700
Jul 2019712
Jun 2019500
May 2019442
Mar 2019450
Feb 2019588
Jan 2019588
Dec 2018655
Nov 2018618
Oct 2018557
Sept 2018450
Aug 2018475
Jul 2018462
Jun 2018466
May 2018440
Apr 2018433
Mar 2018500
Feb 2018488
Jan 2018840
Dec 20171,000
Nov 20171,075
Oct 20171,225
Sept 20171,040
Aug 20171,200
Jul 20171,000
Jun 20171,000
May 20171,100
Apr 20171,100
Mar 20171,100
Feb 20171,100
Jan 20171,500
Dec 20161,212
Nov 20161,100
Oct 2016967

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2461-67-retail-kg.