Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Maize flour in Ruhehe

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 11% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,746–2,462

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,657–2,743

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,746 and 2,462 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,657 and 2,743 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize flour, Ruhehe: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 11% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It was about stable over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,746 and 2,462 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,657 and 2,743 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 4,888); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,710–2,050 1,855 1,576–2,292 2,234 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,700–2,281 1,925 1,534–2,413 2,358 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,746–2,462 1,990 1,513–3,244 2,592 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,733–2,638 2,049 1,530–4,060 2,652 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,657–2,743 1,939 1,420–4,888 2,403 –
Price history (104 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,850
Jun 20261,600
May 20261,878
Apr 20261,700
Mar 20261,600
Feb 20261,718
Jan 20262,109
Dec 20252,195
Nov 20252,148
Oct 20252,039
Sept 20252,000
Aug 20251,930
Jul 20252,000
Jun 20251,984
May 20251,777
Apr 20251,800
Mar 20251,719
Feb 20251,579
Jan 20252,475
Dec 20242,557
Nov 20242,180
Oct 20242,297
Sept 20242,028
Aug 20242,020
Jul 20241,517
Jun 20241,485
May 20241,512
Apr 20241,617
Mar 20241,661
Feb 20241,944
Jan 20242,100
Dec 20232,183
Nov 20232,133
Oct 20232,244
Sept 20232,218
Aug 20232,146
Jul 20232,037
Jun 20231,855
May 20231,826
Apr 20231,981
Mar 20232,044
Feb 20231,818
Dec 20222,078
Nov 20222,137
Oct 20221,750
Sept 20221,578
Aug 20221,500
May 20221,211
Apr 20221,100
Mar 20221,050
Feb 2022950
Jan 20221,100
Oct 20211,200
May 20211,000
Apr 2021927
Mar 2021867
Feb 2021900
Jan 20211,035
Dec 20201,200
Nov 20201,038
Oct 2020950
Sept 2020915
Aug 2020844
Jul 2020829
Jun 2020762
Mar 2020800
Feb 2020825
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,275
Oct 2019988
Aug 2019812
Jul 2019850
Jun 2019700
May 2019588
Mar 2019650
Feb 2019762
Jan 2019762
Dec 2018750
Nov 2018800
Oct 2018667
Sept 2018600
Aug 2018588
Jul 2018688
Jun 2018700
May 2018642
Apr 2018667
Mar 2018700
Feb 2018800
Jan 20181,040
Dec 20171,100
Nov 20171,188
Oct 20171,275
Sept 20171,269
Aug 20171,300
Jul 20171,278
Jun 20171,300
May 20171,300
Apr 20171,300
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,300
Jan 20171,300
Dec 20161,291
Nov 20161,256
Oct 20161,167

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2461-76-retail-kg.