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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Ruhehe

Kirundo, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 4% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,546–4,392

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,996–3,992

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 24% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,546 and 4,392 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,996 and 3,992 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Ruhehe: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 4% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 24% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,546 and 4,392 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,996 and 3,992 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,346); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,564–3,356 2,825 2,304–4,004 3,065 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,526–3,775 2,896 2,196–4,489 3,113 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,546–4,392 2,887 2,171–5,922 3,443 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,507–4,589 2,874 2,142–6,921 3,377 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,996–3,992 2,519 1,761–7,346 2,590 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,725
Jun 20262,983
May 20263,606
Apr 20264,750
Mar 20263,116
Feb 20262,759
Jan 20262,245
Dec 20252,500
Nov 20252,081
Oct 20252,265
Sept 20252,469
Aug 20252,495
Jul 20252,424
Jun 20252,130
May 20252,179
Apr 20252,383
Mar 20252,656
Feb 20252,560
Jan 20252,406
Dec 20243,556
Nov 20242,998
Oct 20242,864
Sept 20242,570
Aug 20242,552
Jul 20242,167
Jun 20242,302
May 20242,188
Apr 20242,500
Mar 20242,177
Feb 20242,169
Jan 20241,517
Dec 20232,042
Nov 20232,267
Oct 20232,450
Sept 20232,441
Aug 20232,315
Jul 20231,995
Jun 20231,750
May 20232,491
Apr 20233,325
Mar 20233,231
Feb 20232,906
Dec 20221,978
Nov 20222,120
Oct 20221,850
Sept 20221,339
Aug 20221,176
May 20221,134
Apr 20221,500
Mar 2022885
Feb 2022900
Jan 2022900
Oct 2021900
May 2021667
Apr 2021803
Mar 20211,058
Feb 20211,100
Jan 2021936
Dec 20201,124
Nov 20201,312
Oct 20201,250
Sept 20201,250
Aug 20201,183
Jul 20201,062
Jun 2020975
Mar 20201,050
Feb 2020975
Jan 2020750
Dec 2019875
Nov 2019962
Oct 2019938
Aug 2019855
Jul 2019930
Jun 2019725
May 2019812
Mar 2019878
Feb 2019912
Jan 2019745
Dec 20181,025
Nov 2018925
Oct 2018817
Sept 2018792
Aug 2018762
Jul 2018762
Jun 2018750
May 2018733
Apr 2018613
Mar 2018633
Feb 2018712
Jan 2018600
Dec 2017800
Nov 20171,025
Oct 20171,100
Sept 20171,000
Aug 20171,000
Jul 2017789
Jun 2017750
May 2017975
Apr 20171,300
Mar 20171,300
Feb 20171,300
Jan 20171,325
Dec 20161,336
Nov 20161,280
Oct 20161,000

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2461-829-retail-kg.