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Maize (white) in Rusaka

Mwaro, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 19% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,417–2,169

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,360–2,565

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

5%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 22% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,417 and 2,169 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,360 and 2,565 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Rusaka: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 19% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It rose 22% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,417 and 2,169 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,360 and 2,565 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 5%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 6,833); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,375–1,682 1,527 1,296–2,051 2,020 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,400–1,851 1,585 1,281–2,592 2,095 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,417–2,169 1,619 1,264–3,785 2,252 5%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,400–2,324 1,667 1,229–4,757 2,332 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,360–2,565 1,633 1,169–6,833 2,233 –
Price history (104 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20261,475
Jun 20261,333
May 20261,209
Apr 20261,250
Mar 20261,588
Feb 20261,931
Jan 20261,956
Dec 20251,779
Nov 20251,844
Oct 20251,750
Sept 20251,700
Aug 20251,600
Jul 20251,750
Jun 20251,366
May 20251,462
Apr 20251,580
Mar 20251,624
Feb 20252,295
Jan 20252,500
Dec 20242,696
Nov 20242,300
Oct 20242,062
Sept 20241,989
Aug 20241,894
Jul 20241,655
Jun 20241,631
May 20241,733
Apr 20241,700
Mar 20241,825
Feb 20241,896
Jan 20241,844
Dec 20232,000
Nov 20232,000
Oct 20232,044
Sept 20232,000
Aug 20231,900
Jul 20231,916
Jun 20231,761
May 20231,742
Apr 20231,748
Mar 20232,065
Feb 20232,106
Dec 20221,991
Nov 20221,872
Oct 20221,720
Sept 20221,700
Aug 20221,450
May 20221,106
Apr 20221,000
Mar 20221,200
Feb 20221,200
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,200
May 2021900
Apr 2021933
Mar 2021968
Feb 20211,000
Jan 20211,050
Dec 20201,075
Nov 20201,046
Oct 2020950
Sept 2020855
Aug 2020850
Jul 2020810
Jun 2020747
Mar 2020900
Feb 20201,067
Jan 20201,350
Dec 20191,233
Oct 20191,117
Aug 2019825
Jul 20191,017
Jun 2019617
May 2019667
Mar 2019875
Feb 2019630
Jan 2019867
Dec 2018825
Nov 2018742
Oct 2018700
Sept 2018700
Aug 2018683
Jul 2018700
Jun 2018710
May 2018712
Apr 2018840
Mar 2018900
Feb 2018917
Jan 2018911
Dec 20171,000
Nov 20171,160
Oct 20171,183
Sept 20171,186
Aug 20171,220
Jul 20171,283
Jun 20171,225
May 20171,180
Apr 20171,233
Mar 20171,400
Feb 20171,440
Jan 20171,340
Dec 20161,355
Nov 20161,170
Oct 20161,100

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2462-67-retail-kg.