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Beans (haricot, yellow) in Rusaka

Mwaro, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 1% above the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

2,763–4,516

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

2,671–5,084

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

8%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 41% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,763 and 4,516 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,671 and 5,084 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Beans (haricot, yellow), Rusaka: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was at the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 41% over the 3 months before. For beans, across 70 markets in Burundi, the median price fell 32% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 2,763 and 4,516 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 2,671 and 5,084 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 8%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).02,0004,0006,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price. The 95 % range goes above the top of the chart (up to 7,704); see the table.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 2,777–3,510 3,025 2,433–4,301 3,294 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 2,790–3,968 3,103 2,315–4,664 3,405 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 2,763–4,516 3,185 2,307–5,766 3,783 8%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 2,760–4,637 3,210 2,245–7,634 3,875 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 2,671–5,084 3,179 2,254–7,704 3,679 –
Price history (105 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,875
Jun 20262,917
May 20264,912
Apr 20264,375
Mar 20263,000
Feb 20263,000
Jan 20262,986
Dec 20252,541
Nov 20252,891
Oct 20252,941
Sept 20252,663
Aug 20252,425
Jul 20252,400
Jun 20252,432
May 20252,868
Apr 20253,425
Mar 20253,409
Feb 20253,500
Jan 20253,500
Dec 20243,500
Nov 20243,250
Oct 20243,000
Sept 20243,000
Aug 20242,619
Jul 20242,432
Jun 20242,138
May 20242,633
Apr 20243,500
Mar 20243,000
Feb 20242,916
Jan 20242,671
Dec 20233,000
Nov 20232,850
Oct 20233,050
Sept 20232,840
Aug 20232,605
Jul 20232,181
Jun 20232,222
May 20233,569
Apr 20233,530
Mar 20233,318
Feb 20232,956
Dec 20222,279
Nov 20222,213
Oct 20221,803
Sept 20221,483
Aug 20221,275
May 20221,914
Apr 20221,500
Mar 20221,167
Feb 20221,267
Jan 20221,300
Oct 20211,250
May 20211,667
Apr 20211,660
Mar 20211,540
Feb 20211,583
Jan 20211,650
Dec 20201,750
Nov 20201,683
Oct 20201,500
Sept 20201,377
Aug 20201,338
Jul 20201,099
Jun 20201,152
Mar 20201,233
Feb 20201,233
Jan 20201,200
Dec 20191,150
Nov 20191,140
Oct 20191,067
Aug 2019820
Jul 2019967
Jun 2019867
May 20191,283
Mar 20191,333
Feb 20191,050
Jan 20191,333
Dec 20181,267
Nov 20181,217
Oct 20181,133
Sept 20181,067
Aug 2018933
Jul 2018890
Jun 20181,010
May 20181,250
Apr 20181,080
Mar 20181,067
Feb 2018983
Jan 20181,011
Dec 20171,233
Nov 20171,280
Oct 20171,200
Sept 20171,129
Aug 20171,040
Jul 20171,000
Jun 2017983
May 20171,417
Apr 20171,583
Mar 20171,600
Feb 20171,580
Jan 20171,600
Dec 20161,473
Nov 20161,280
Oct 20161,180

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2462-829-retail-kg.