Staple Signals Français

Home › Burundi

Maize (white) in Chez Siyoni

Bujumbura Mairie, Burundi · BIF per KG · retail

Normal August 2026: 13% below the usual level for that time of year.

Prices up to August 2026 (WFP publishes with a delay). Forecast made October 2026. How often past forecasts were right.

November 2026: 80 % range

1,926–2,697

BIF per KG. 8 in 10 chance the price falls in this range.

January 2027: 80 % range

1,896–2,777

BIF per KG. Wider: 3 months ahead.

Chance of a spike, November 2026

2%

Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet.

In August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,926 and 2,697 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,896 and 2,777 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).

Prices and forecast

Maize (white), Chez Siyoni: BIF per KGIn August 2026 the price was 13% below the usual level for that time of year (normal). It fell 8% over the 3 months before. For maize, across 140 markets in Burundi, the median price rose 7% over those 3 months. November 2026: most likely between 1,926 and 2,697 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). January 2027: most likely between 1,896 and 2,777 BIF/KG (8 in 10 chance). Chance of a spike in November 2026 (price well above the usual level for the season): 2%. Warnings of new spikes have no proven skill yet (track record 2023-2026).01,0002,0003,0004,000202520262027
  • Observed price
  • Most likely (forecast)
  • 80 % range
  • 95 % range
  • Usual level for the season

BIF per KG. Last 2 years and the forecast; the full history is in the table below. The shaded area covers the estimates of the last two months and the forecasts; the fan starts at the last observed price.

Forecast table (BIF per KG)
Month 80 % range Most likely 95 % range Usual level for the season Chance of a spike
Sept 2026
Estimate (last month)		 1,843–2,375 2,109 1,631–2,572 2,403 –
Oct 2026
Estimate (this month)		 1,847–2,554 2,151 1,690–2,751 2,606 –
Nov 2026
Next month		 1,926–2,697 2,228 1,633–3,058 2,709 2%
Dec 2026
In 2 months		 1,961–2,783 2,293 1,723–3,191 3,118 –
Jan 2027
In 3 months		 1,896–2,777 2,200 1,600–2,979 2,827 –
Price history (90 months, latest first)
Observed prices (BIF per KG)
MonthPriceNote
Aug 20262,150
Jul 20261,800
Jun 20262,059
May 20262,333
Apr 20262,317
Mar 20262,271
Feb 20262,193
Jan 20262,281
Dec 20252,356
Nov 20252,262
Oct 20252,092
Sept 20252,006
Aug 20251,800
Jul 20252,125
Jun 20252,067
May 20251,883
Apr 20252,163
Mar 20252,115
Feb 20252,310
Jan 20252,368
Dec 20242,247
Nov 20242,035
Oct 20241,861
Sept 20241,806
Aug 20241,822
Jul 20241,775
Jun 20241,700
May 20241,694
Apr 20241,800
Mar 20241,710
Feb 20241,700
Jan 20241,900
Dec 20232,275
Nov 20232,150
Oct 20232,144
Sept 20231,994
Aug 20232,026
Jul 20232,073
Jun 20232,386
May 20232,179
Apr 20231,700
Mar 20231,992
Feb 20232,006
Jan 20232,200
Dec 20222,167
Oct 20221,500
Sept 20221,569
Aug 20221,688
Jul 20221,300
Jun 20221,150
May 20221,238
Apr 20221,304
Mar 20221,100
Feb 20221,233
Jan 20221,275
Oct 20211,233
May 20211,100
Apr 2021969
Mar 2021890
Feb 20211,117
Jan 20211,200
Nov 20201,067
Sept 20201,000
Aug 20201,014
Jul 2020922
Jun 2020967
Mar 2020986
Feb 20201,033
Jan 20201,367
Dec 20191,283
Oct 20191,240
Aug 20191,250
Jul 20191,267
Jun 2019933
May 2019725
Mar 20191,080
Feb 2019810
Jan 2019860
Dec 20181,050
Nov 20181,017
Oct 2018850
Sept 2018742
Aug 2018820
Jul 2018760
Jun 2018788
May 2018750
Apr 2018830
Mar 2018867
Feb 20181,100
Jan 2018800

Track record in Burundi

How past forecasts for Burundi did in a test on earlier data (backtest). Full track record.

Past forecasts, Burundi
Horizon 80 % range held
ideal 80 %		 95 % range held
ideal 95 %		 Typical error Warnings of new spikes Cases
Estimate (last month) 79% 94% 6% better than the base rate 16,758
Estimate (this month) 78% 94% 9% better than the base rate 16,545
Next month 76% 93% 11% better than the base rate 16,316
In 2 months 74% 93% 14% no better than the base rate 16,060
In 3 months 73% 92% 17% worse than the base rate 15,769

Last observed: August 2026. Series id: burundi-2464-67-retail-kg.